Week 3
Michigan Stadium

Central Michigan3 @FINAL 63Michigan , Week 3, Sep 13, 2025

1-1 MAC Power rating: -12.2
1-1 Big Ten Power rating: 16.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MICH -27.5
PM Implied
MICH -20.7
Blue Chip model
MICH -30.2
Edge
+2.7MICH
See details
◂ favors CMUfavors MICH ▸Market: MICH -27.5
28.3 › MICH
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MICH
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1 CMU1 MICH2 CMU2 MICH3 CMU3 MICHModel: MICH -30.2

Betting information

Spread
MICH -27.5
Total
42.5
Odds implied score
CMU 7.5 – 35.0 MICH
Prediction markets
MICH 97% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Michigan defeated Central Michigan 63–3 in a dominant performance. Michigan covered by 32.5; Game went Over by 23.5. The market closed at Michigan -27.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Michigan -30.2, an edge of 2.7 points toward Michigan.

What are the key factors for Central Michigan vs Michigan?

Central Michigan

Offensive struggles against elite defense

Central Michigan was held to just 139 total yards and 3 points, with quarterback Angel Flores completing only 7 of 12 passes for 24 yards. The offense failed to sustain drives or threaten the Michigan defense, highlighting a lack of explosiveness and consistency.

Defensive vulnerability to dual-threat quarterbacks

Michigan's Bryce Underwood exploited Central Michigan's defense with 235 passing yards, 114 rushing yards, and three total touchdowns. The Chippewas struggled to contain a mobile quarterback, which could be a concern against future opponents with similar skill sets.

Positive takeaway from early season road gauntlet

Despite the blowout loss, Central Michigan opened with three straight road games and secured a win against San Jose State (16-14) in Week 1. The team now returns home to face Wagner, a lower-tier FCS opponent, providing a chance to build confidence and correct mistakes.

Need for improved offensive consistency

Coach Matt Drinkall emphasized that inconsistency against a solid team leads to quick punishment. The Chippewas must develop more reliable passing and running plays to avoid falling behind early and to keep games competitive.

What were the weather conditions for Central Michigan vs Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Michigan Stadium were Overcast, 77°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Central Michigan travels 104 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Michigan won by 60 in a dominant performance.

Michigan covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 23.5 points.

How do Central Michigan and Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Michigan (16.1) over Central Michigan (-12.2) by 28.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Michigan won and Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

77°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity61%
Wind8 mph WSW
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Central Michigan at Michigan: aerial view of Michigan Stadium, wind from the WSW at 8.3 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Michigan Stadium
Capacity
107,601
Elevation
863 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Central MichiganAway MichiganHome
This week104 miles0 miles
Last week653 miles1,768 miles
Season total4,728 miles1,768 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days