Week 12
Sanford Stadium

Texas10 @FINAL 35Georgia , Week 12, Nov 16, 2025

7-2 SEC Power rating: 24.1
8-1 SEC Power rating: 22.3

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UGA -3.5
PM Implied
UGA -3.9
Blue Chip model
Pick’em
Edge
-3.5TEX
See details
◂ favors TEXfavors UGA ▸Market: UGA -3.5
TEX
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2 TEX2 UGA4 TEX4 UGAModel: Pick’em

Betting information

Spread
UGA -3.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
TEX 23.5 – 27.0 UGA
Prediction markets
UGA 66% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia defeated Texas 35–10 to secure a comfortable win. Georgia covered by 21.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Georgia -3.5 and the Blue Chip model made it a pick'em - a gap of 3.5 points toward Texas, of which 2.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Texas vs Georgia?

At kickoff, conditions at Sanford Stadium were Clear, 61°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Texas travels 878 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Texas arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Georgia won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

Georgia covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Texas and Georgia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas (24.1) over Georgia (22.3) by 1.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Georgia won and Georgia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 16, 2025 Game-time

Clear

61°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity73%
Wind9 mph WSW
Gusts17 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Texas at Georgia: aerial view of Sanford Stadium, wind from the WSW at 8.5 mph, gusting to 17.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
Sanford Stadium
Capacity
93,033
Elevation
715 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure TexasAway GeorgiaHome
This week878 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week628 miles
Season total8,208 miles1,758 miles
Body clock18:3019:30
Rest15 days8 days