Fresno State defeated Boise State 30–7 to secure a comfortable win. Fresno State covered by 40.5; Game went Under by 10.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Boise State 15.0 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Albertsons Stadium were Clear, 63.5°F, Feels Like 63.1°F with winds of 6.7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
63.5°F
Fresno State travels 505 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Fresno State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Fresno State won by 23 to secure a comfortable win.
Fresno State covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 10.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Boise State (9.9) over Fresno State (-5.1) by 15.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Fresno State won and Fresno State covered the spread.
