@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 10 •
Doak Campbell Stadium

Wake Forest7 @FINAL 42Florida State

5-2 ACC Power rating: 1.3
3-4 ACC Power rating: 16.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FSU -12.5
PM Implied
FSU -7.6
Blue Chip model
FSU -18.5
Edge
+6.0FSU
See details
◂ favors WAKEfavors FSU ▸Market: FSU -12.5
14.7 › FSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FSU
FSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 WAKE2 FSU4 WAKE4 FSU6 WAKE6 FSUModel: FSU -18.5

Betting information

Spread
FSU -12.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
WAKE 19.0 – 31.5 FSU
Prediction markets
FSU 77% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida State defeated Wake Forest 42–7 in a dominant performance. Florida State covered by 22.5; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at Florida State -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida State -18.5 - a gap of 6.0 points toward Florida State, of which 5.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Wake Forest vs Florida State?

At kickoff, conditions at Doak Campbell Stadium were Clear, 53°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Wake Forest travels 457 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Florida State won by 35 in a dominant performance.

Florida State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do Wake Forest and Florida State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida State (16.0) over Wake Forest (1.3) by 14.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Wake Forest and Florida State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Florida State won and Florida State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Clear

53°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind3 mph WNW
Gusts6 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Wake Forest at Florida State: aerial view of Doak Campbell Stadium, wind from the WNW at 2.7 mph, gusting to 5.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EDT
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
95 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Wake ForestAway Florida StateHome
This week457 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total5,240 miles5,663 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
Rest7 days13 days

Other games this week