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Week 10 •
AlamodomeIndoor

Tulane26 @FINAL 48UTSA

6-1 American Power rating: 4.1
3-4 American Power rating: 1.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TULN -6.0
PM Implied
TULN -4.8
Blue Chip model
UTSA -1.4
Edge
+7.3UTSA
See details
◂ favors TULNfavors UTSA ▸Market: TULN -6.0
TULN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UTSA
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 TULN5 UTSAModel: UTSA -1.4

Betting information

Spread
TULN -6.0
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
TULN 30.3 – 24.3 UTSA
Prediction markets
TULN 69% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UTSA defeated Tulane 48–26 to secure a comfortable win. UTSA covered by 28.0; Game went Over by 19.5. The market closed at Tulane -6.0 and the Blue Chip model made it UTSA -1.4 - a gap of 7.3 points toward UTSA, of which 6.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Tulane vs UTSA?

Tulane

Turnover Troubles

Tulane committed four turnovers (three interceptions, one fumble) which directly led to UTSA's 31 unanswered points in the first half. This was a critical factor in the loss and a major concern moving forward.

Slow Start After Strong Opening

After an impressive 75-yard scoring drive to open the game, Tulane's offense stalled and allowed UTSA to score 31 straight points. The inability to sustain momentum after the initial drive was a key issue.

Quarterback Inconsistency

Jake Retzlaff threw for a touchdown and ran for another, but also threw two interceptions. Backup Brendan Sullivan added another interception, highlighting instability at the quarterback position.

Defensive Struggles Against the Pass

Tulane's defense allowed UTSA quarterback Owen McCown to complete 31 of 33 passes for 370 yards and four touchdowns, with two receivers each catching two touchdowns. The secondary was unable to contain the Roadrunners' passing attack.

Winning Streak Snapped

The loss ended Tulane's three-game winning streak and dropped them to 3-1 in conference play. The team will need to regroup quickly to stay competitive in the American Conference race.

UTSA

Dominant Passing Attack

Owen McCown completed 31 of 33 passes for 370 yards and 4 touchdowns, showcasing exceptional efficiency and accuracy. This performance suggests UTSA's passing game is a major strength moving forward.

Strong Home Field Advantage

UTSA won its 22nd straight regular season conference game at home and holds a 32-4 home record under Jeff Traylor. This trend indicates they are very difficult to beat at home, which could be a key factor in future matchups.

Balanced Offensive Contributions

David Amador II and Devin McCuin each had two touchdown catches, while Robert Henry Jr. rushed for 87 yards. The offense showed multiple threats, making it hard for defenses to focus on one player.

Defensive Turnover Creation

UTSA forced four turnovers from Tulane, including two interceptions. This ability to create turnovers can swing games and will be crucial in upcoming contests.

What were the weather conditions for Tulane vs UTSA?

This game was played indoors at Alamodome in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Tulane travels 504 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UTSA won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

UTSA covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do Tulane and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Tulane (4.1) over UTSA (1.7) by 2.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTSA faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTSA brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tulane and UTSA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UTSA won and UTSA covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Alamodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Tulane at UTSA: aerial view of Alamodome

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Alamodome
Capacity
64,000
Elevation
738 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TulaneAway UTSAHome
This week504 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total2,458 miles5,569 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest12 days12 days

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