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Week 10 •
Rice Stadium

Memphis38 @FINAL 14Rice

7-1 American Power rating: 8.4
4-4 American Power rating: -14.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MEM -14.0
PM Implied
MEM -10.5
Blue Chip model
MEM -20.3
Edge
-6.3MEM
See details
◂ favors MEMfavors RICE ▸Market: MEM -14.0
‹ 23.0 MEM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
RICE
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 MEM2 RICE4 MEM4 RICE6 MEM6 RICEModel: MEM -20.3

Betting information

Spread
MEM -14.0
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
MEM 31.3 – 17.3 RICE
Prediction markets
MEM 85% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Memphis defeated Rice 38–14 to secure a comfortable win. Memphis covered by 10.0; Game went Over by 3.5. The market closed at Memphis -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Memphis -20.3 - a gap of 6.3 points toward Memphis, of which 5.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Memphis vs Rice?

Memphis

Dominant First Half Performance

Memphis built a 28-0 lead by midway through the second quarter, with Frank Peasant scoring three short touchdown runs and Brendon Lewis adding an 18-yard rushing TD. The Tigers' defense forced four three-and-outs and a fumble to start the game, stifling Rice's offense.

Brendon Lewis Injury Concern

Lewis exited midway through the fourth quarter and appeared to limp off. Coach Silverfield noted he had a pre-existing lower leg issue and will be monitored day-to-day. His status is critical for next week's game against Tulane.

Balanced Offensive Attack

Lewis completed 18 of 22 passes for 225 yards, connecting with 11 different receivers. The Tigers outgained Rice 355-212, showcasing a versatile offense that can both pass and run effectively.

Defensive Dominance Early

Memphis forced three-and-outs on Rice's first four possessions and a fumble, preventing Rice from getting a first down until midway through the second quarter. This set the tone for the blowout win.

Upcoming Home Game vs Tulane

Memphis hosts Tulane on Friday. With a 8-1 record and 4-1 in conference, the Tigers are near the top of the American standings. The outcome of this game will be crucial for their conference title hopes.

Rice

Slow start doomed the Owls

Rice fell behind 28-0 by midway through the second quarter, failing to get a first down until that point. The team was outgained 355-212 overall, and the early deficit proved insurmountable.

Rushing attack stifled until late

Rice, typically a run-heavy team, managed only 112 rushing yards on 46 carries (2.4 yards per carry) against Memphis. The ground game was ineffective for most of the game, limiting offensive balance.

Passing game showed some life

Quarterback Chase Jenkins completed 11 of 16 passes for 100 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Aaron Turner caught a 12-yard touchdown pass, providing a bright spot in the passing attack.

Defense forced no turnovers, struggled early

The Rice defense allowed Memphis to score on four of their first five drives, including three rushing touchdowns by Frank Peasant. The unit did not force any turnovers and allowed 38 points.

Coach Abell emphasizes need for full 60-minute effort

After the game, coach Scott Abell noted that the team played evenly for the final 42 minutes but stressed the importance of performing well from the start against a quality opponent like Memphis.

What were the weather conditions for Memphis vs Rice?

At kickoff, conditions at Rice Stadium were Clear, 58°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Memphis travels 489 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Memphis won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

Memphis covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

How do Memphis and Rice compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Memphis (8.4) over Rice (-14.6) by 23.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Rice faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Rice brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Memphis and Rice?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Memphis won and Memphis covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 31, 2025 Game-time

Clear

58°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity63%
Wind6 mph SSE
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Memphis at Rice: aerial view of Rice Stadium, wind from the SSE at 6 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Rice Stadium
Capacity
47,000
Elevation
66 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

MemphisAway RiceHome
This week489 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total3,913 miles5,160 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest6 days6 days

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