Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
5-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 11.5
24 FINAL 19
4-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.9
Arizona State covered by 11.5 | Game went Under by 7.5

Arizona State defeated Iowa State 24–19 in a closely contested finish.

Arizona State @ Iowa State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Jack Trice Stadium
Capacity: 61,500
Elevation: 915 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Iowa State -6.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score ASU 22.0 - 28.5 ISU
Power Rank Implied Line Iowa State +1.4
Prediction Markets Iowa State 73% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

23.1°F

Wind Chill: 12.0°F
Wind: 11.6 mph ESE
Gusts: 15.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 66%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arizona State (Away)

This Week: 1160.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6588.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 10:00
Rest Days: 7

Iowa State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10974.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Iowa State -6.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arizona State 11.5
Iowa State 12.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1161 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Jack Trice Stadium
Capacity 61,500
Elevation 915 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 23.1°F
Wind Speed 11.6 mph
Your Line Iowa State +1.4
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Arizona State vs Iowa State?

Arizona State: Key Factors

Iowa State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arizona State travels 1,161 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Arizona State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Arizona State won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

Arizona State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Jack Trice Stadium?

At 23.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Arizona State and Iowa State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Iowa State (12.9) over Arizona State (11.5) by 1.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Iowa State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Arizona State won and Arizona State covered the spread.