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Week 10 •
Jack Trice Stadium

Arizona State24 @FINAL 19Iowa State

5-3 Big 12 Power rating: 11.5
5-3 Big 12 Power rating: 12.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ISU -7.5
PM Implied
ISU -6.0
Blue Chip model
ISU -4.6
Edge
-2.9ASU
See details
◂ favors ASUfavors ISU ▸Market: ISU -7.5
ISU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ISU
no impact
ISU
no impact
no impact
1 ASU1 ISU2 ASU2 ISU3 ASU3 ISUModel: ISU -4.6

Betting information

Spread
ISU -7.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
ASU 20.5 – 28.0 ISU
Prediction markets
ISU 73% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Arizona State defeated Iowa State 24–19 in a closely contested finish. Arizona State covered by 12.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Iowa State -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa State -4.6, an edge of 2.9 points toward Arizona State.

What were the weather conditions for Arizona State vs Iowa State?

At kickoff, conditions at Jack Trice Stadium were Overcast, 44°F, wind chill 39°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Arizona State travels 1,161 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Arizona State arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Arizona State won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

Arizona State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Arizona State and Iowa State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Iowa State (12.9) over Arizona State (11.5) by 1.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Iowa State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arizona State and Iowa State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Arizona State won and Arizona State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

44°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity82%
Wind9 mph N
Gusts12 mph
Wind chill39°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Arizona State at Iowa State: aerial view of Jack Trice Stadium, wind from the N at 8.7 mph, gusting to 12.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM CDT
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
915 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Arizona StateAway Iowa StateHome
This week1,161 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total6,588 miles10,974 miles
Body clock10:0012:00
Rest6 days7 days

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