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Week 10 •
Plaster Sports Complex

Florida International21 @FINAL 28Missouri State

3-4 CUSA Power rating: -14.2
4-3 CUSA Power rating: -12.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MOST -3.0
PM Implied
MOST -3.0
Blue Chip model
MOST -4.4
Edge
+1.4MOST
See details
◂ favors FIUfavors MOST ▸Market: MOST -3.0
MOST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MOST
FIU
MOST
no impact
FIU
1 FIU1 MOST2 FIU2 MOSTModel: MOST -4.4

Betting information

Spread
MOST -3.0
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
FIU 23.3 – 26.3 MOST
Prediction markets
MOST 62% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Missouri State defeated Florida International 28–21 in a one-score game. Missouri State covered by 4.0; Game went Under by 0.5. The market closed at Missouri State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Missouri State -4.4, an edge of 1.4 points toward Missouri State.

What were the weather conditions for Florida International vs Missouri State?

At kickoff, conditions at Plaster Sports Complex were Overcast, 44°F, wind chill 39°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida International travels 1,094 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Florida International arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Missouri State won by 7 in a one-score game.

Missouri State covered the spread.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

How do Florida International and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri State (-12.1) over Florida International (-14.2) by 2.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida International and Missouri State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 30, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

44°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity91%
Wind10 mph NW
Gusts20 mph
Wind chill39°F
Wind map for Florida International at Missouri State: aerial view of Plaster Sports Complex, wind from the NW at 10.3 mph, gusting to 19.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity
17,500
Elevation
1,339 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Florida InternationalAway Missouri StateHome
This week1,094 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,673 miles
Season total7,274 miles6,506 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest9 days7 days

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