Missouri State defeated Florida International 28–21 in a one-score game. Missouri State covered by 4.0; Game went Under by 0.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Plaster Sports Complex were Overcast, 44.2°F, Wind Chill 38.7°F with winds of 10.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
44.2°F
Florida International travels 1,094 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Florida International arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Missouri State won by 7 in a one-score game.
Missouri State covered the spread.
The total went Under by 0.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri State (-12.1) over Florida International (-14.2) by 2.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.
