Week 10 • October 30, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
3-4
CUSA
Power Rank: -14.2
21 FINAL 28
4-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.1
Missouri State covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 1.5

Missouri State defeated Florida International 28–21 in a one-score game.

Florida International @ Missouri State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity: 17,500
Elevation: 1339 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Missouri State -3.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score FIU 23.5 - 27.0 MOST
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri State +2.1
Prediction Markets Missouri State 62% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

26.2°F

Wind Chill: 14.8°F
Wind: 14.1 mph SW
Gusts: 24.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 57%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Florida International (Away)

This Week: 1094.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7273.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 9

Missouri State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1673.2 miles
Season Total: 6505.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Missouri State -3.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Florida International -14.2
Missouri State -12.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1094 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Florida International +2
HFA: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity 17,500
Elevation 1339 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 26.2°F
Wind Speed 14.1 mph
Your Line Missouri State +2.1
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Florida International vs Missouri State?

Florida International: Key Factors

Missouri State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Florida International travels 1,094 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Florida International arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Missouri State won by 7 in a one-score game.

Missouri State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Plaster Sports Complex?

At 26.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Florida International and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri State (-12.1) over Florida International (-14.2) by 2.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.