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Trust & Will Holiday Bowl •
Snapdragon StadiumNeutral site

Arizona19 @FINAL 24SMU

9-3 Big 12 Power rating: 12.3
8-4 ACC Power rating: 13.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SMU -2.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SMU -1.0
Edge
-1.5ARIZ
See details
◂ favors ARIZfavors SMU ▸Market: SMU -2.5
SMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 ARIZ1 SMU2 ARIZ2 SMUModel: SMU -1.0

Betting information

Spread
SMU -2.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
ARIZ 26.5 – 29.0 SMU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

SMU defeated Arizona 24–19 in a closely contested finish. SMU covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 12.5. The market closed at SMU -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it SMU -1.0, an edge of 1.5 points toward Arizona.

What were the weather conditions for Arizona vs SMU?

At kickoff, conditions at Snapdragon Stadium were Fog, 59°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Arizona travels 362 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Arizona arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

SMU won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

SMU covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 12.5 points.

How do Arizona and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor SMU (13.3) over Arizona (12.3) by 1.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arizona and SMU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

SMU won and SMU covered the spread.

Conditions

as of January 3, 2026 Game-time

Fog

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity98%
Wind4 mph SE
Gusts7 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Arizona at SMU: aerial view of Snapdragon Stadium, wind from the SE at 4 mph, gusting to 6.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM PST
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium
Capacity
35,000
Elevation
89 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

ArizonaAway SMUHome
This week362 miles1,182 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total9,134 miles11,569 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest35 days34 days

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