Trust & Will Holiday BowlJanuary 03, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC
19
9-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.3
@
FINAL
24
8-4
ACC
Power Rank: 13.3

By · Last updated

SMU defeated Arizona 24–19 in a closely contested finish. SMU covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 12.5.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:00 PM PST
Stadium: Snapdragon Stadium
Capacity: 35,000
Elevation: 89 ft
HFA Rating: 0.0
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread SMU -2.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Odds Implied Score ARIZ 26.5 - 29.0 SMU
Power Rank Implied Line SMU -1.0
Arizona @ SMU Preview

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Arizona
SMU
Home field: Snapdragon Stadium
Weather: Fog
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Arizona vs SMU?

At kick-off, conditions at Snapdragon Stadium were Fog, 58.5°F, Feels Like 59.2°F with winds of 4.0 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: January 03, 2026
Fog

Fog

58.5°F

Feels Like: 59.2°F
Wind: 4.0 mph SE
Gusts: 6.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 98%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arizona (Away)

This Week: 362.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 9134.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 35

SMU (Home)

This Week: 1181.8 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 11569.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 34

What happened in the game?

Arizona travels 362 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Arizona arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

SMU won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

SMU covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 12.5 points.

How do Arizona and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour SMU (13.3) over Arizona (12.3) by 1.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. SMU brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

SMU won and SMU covered the spread.