Kinder's Texas BowlDecember 28, 2025, 02:15 AM UTC
35
7-5
SEC
Power Rank: 17.6
@
FINAL
38
9-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 8.9

By · Last updated

Houston defeated LSU 38–35 in a nail-biter. Houston covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 29.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated LSU 8.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:15 PM CST
Stadium: NRG Stadium
Capacity: 80,109
Elevation: 0 ft
HFA Rating: 0.0
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Houston -1.5
Total (O/U) 43.5
Odds Implied Score LSU 21.0 - 22.5 HOU
Power Rank Implied Line LSU -8.7
Prediction Markets Houston 52% Win Chance (Kalshi)
LSU @ Houston Preview

Line Value Calculator

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LSU
Houston
Home field: NRG Stadium
Weather: Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for LSU vs Houston?

This game was played indoors at NRG Stadium in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: NRG Stadium
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

LSU (Away)

This Week: 258.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 4469.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:15
Rest Days: 29

Houston (Home)

This Week: 4.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8654.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:15
Rest Days: 29

What happened in the game?

LSU travels 258 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Houston won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Houston covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 29.5 points.

How do LSU and Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour LSU (17.6) over Houston (8.9) by 8.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Houston brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Houston won and Houston covered the spread.