AutoZone Liberty Bowl • January 02, 2026, 09:30 PM UTC
0-0
American
Power Rank: 3.2
35 FINAL 13
0-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 14.0

Navy defeated Cincinnati 35–13 to secure a comfortable win. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Cincinnati 10.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM CST
Stadium: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 315 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Cincinnati +10.8
Prediction Markets Navy 50% Cincinnati 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

34.7°F

Wind Chill: 29.1°F
Wind: 6.0 mph W
Gusts: 12.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 76%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Navy (Away)

This Week: 789.8 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8256.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 35

Cincinnati (Home)

This Week: 409.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10348.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 34

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line
Total Points
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Navy 3.2
Cincinnati 14.0
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 790 mi
Home Team Travel 409 mi
Rest Navy +1
HFA: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity 50,000
Elevation 315 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 34.7°F
Wind Speed 6.0 mph
Your Line Cincinnati +10.8
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Navy vs Cincinnati?

Navy: Key Factors

Cincinnati: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Navy travels 790 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Navy arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Navy won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Does weather affect this game at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium?

At 34.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Navy and Cincinnati compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Cincinnati (14.0) over Navy (3.2) by 10.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Navy won this game.