DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Navy defeated Cincinnati 35–13 to secure a comfortable win. Navy covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 9.5. The market closed at Navy -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Cincinnati -10.8 - a gap of 18.3 points toward Cincinnati, of which 18.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Cincinnati 10.8 points stronger on a neutral field.
At kickoff, conditions at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium were Light rain, 53°F with winds of 10 mph. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Light rain
53°F
| Measure | NavyAway | CincinnatiHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 790 miles | 409 miles |
| Last week | 42 miles | Bye week |
| Season total | 8,299 miles | 8,660 miles |
| Body clock | 16:30 | 16:30 |
| Rest | 20 days | 34 days |
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