Navy defeated Cincinnati 35–13 to secure a comfortable win. Navy covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 9.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Cincinnati 10.8 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium were Light rain, 53.4°F, Wind Chill 54.0°F with winds of 9.6 mph. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
53.4°F
Navy travels 790 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Navy arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Navy won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.
Navy covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 9.5 points.
Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Cincinnati (14.0) over Navy (3.2) by 10.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Cincinnati brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Navy won and Navy covered the spread.
