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SERVPRO First Responder Bowl •
Gerald J. Ford StadiumNeutral site

Florida International20 @FINAL 57UTSA

7-5 CUSA Power rating: -14.2
6-6 American Power rating: 1.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTSA -7.0
PM Implied
UTSA -5.2
Blue Chip model
UTSA -16.2
Edge
+9.2UTSA
See details
◂ favors FIUfavors UTSA ▸Market: UTSA -7.0
16.1 › UTSA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
UTSA
no impact
FIU
5 FIU5 UTSA10 FIU10 UTSAModel: UTSA -16.2

Betting information

Spread
UTSA -7.0
Total
62.5
Odds implied score
FIU 27.8 – 34.8 UTSA
Prediction markets
UTSA 69% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UTSA defeated Florida International 57–20 in a dominant performance. UTSA covered by 30.0; Game went Over by 14.5. The market closed at UTSA -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it UTSA -16.2 - a gap of 9.2 points toward UTSA, of which 8.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Florida International vs UTSA?

At kickoff, conditions at Gerald J. Ford Stadium were Fog, 64°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida International travels 1,102 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Florida International arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

UTSA won by 37 in a dominant performance.

UTSA covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

How do Florida International and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTSA (1.9) over Florida International (-14.2) by 16.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida International and UTSA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UTSA won and UTSA covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 27, 2025 Game-time

Fog

64°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity99%
Wind11 mph SSW
Gusts18 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida International at UTSA: aerial view of Gerald J. Ford Stadium, wind from the SSW at 11.4 mph, gusting to 18.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CST
Venue
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity
32,000
Elevation
594 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Florida InternationalAway UTSAHome
This week1,102 miles256 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total12,946 miles9,998 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest28 days28 days

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