Wasabi Fenway Bowl
Fenway ParkNeutral site

UConn16 @FINAL 41Army , Postseason, Dec 27, 2025

9-3 Independent Power rating: -0.3
6-6 American Power rating: -1.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ARMY -8.5
PM Implied
ARMY -6.2
Blue Chip model
CONN -0.2
Edge
-8.7CONN
See details
◂ favors CONNfavors ARMY ▸Market: ARMY -8.5
CONN
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neutral
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ARMY
5 CONN5 ARMY10 CONN10 ARMYModel: CONN -0.2

Betting information

Spread
ARMY -8.5
Total
41.5
Odds implied score
CONN 16.5 – 25.0 ARMY
Prediction markets
ARMY 73% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Army defeated UConn 41–16 to secure a comfortable win. Army covered by 16.5; Game went Over by 15.5. The market closed at Army -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UConn -0.2 - a gap of 8.7 points toward UConn, of which 8.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for UConn vs Army?

At kickoff, conditions at Fenway Park were Clear, 25°F, wind chill 18°F with winds of 2 mph. At 25°F this is a freezing game. Cold is a scoring-environment factor rather than a side factor: Blue Chip has not measured a reliable spread effect from temperature. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UConn travels 88 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Army won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

Army covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 15.5 points.

How do UConn and Army compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UConn (-0.3) over Army (-1.0) by 0.7 points on a neutral field. Army faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Army won and Army covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 27, 2025 Game-time

Clear

25°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity63%
Wind2 mph NW
Gusts4 mph
Wind chill18°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UConn at Army: aerial view of Fenway Park, wind from the NW at 2.2 mph, gusting to 3.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
02:15 PM EST
Venue
Fenway Park
Capacity
37,755
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure UConnAway ArmyHome
This week88 miles162 miles
Last weekBye week404 miles
Season total7,073 miles14,498 miles
Body clock14:1514:15
Rest35 days14 days