Army defeated UConn 41–16 to secure a comfortable win. Army covered by 16.5; Game went Over by 15.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Fenway Park were Clear, 24.8°F, Wind Chill 17.6°F with winds of 2.2 mph. At 24.8°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
24.8°F
UConn travels 88 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Army won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.
Army covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 15.5 points.
At 24.8°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 32°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UConn (-0.3) over Army (-1.0) by 0.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Army faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Army brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Army won and Army covered the spread.
