Duke's Mayo BowlJanuary 03, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC
43
8-4
ACC
Power Rank: 1.9
@
FINAL
29
5-7
SEC
Power Rank: 13.3

By · Last updated

Wake Forest defeated Mississippi State 43–29 in a double-digit victory. Wake Forest covered by 17.0; Game went Over by 19.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Mississippi State 11.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM EST
Stadium: Bank of America Stadium
Capacity: 74,867
Elevation: 732 ft
HFA Rating: 0.0
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Mississippi State -3.0
Total (O/U) 52.5
Odds Implied Score WAKE 24.8 - 27.8 MSST
Power Rank Implied Line Mississippi State -11.4
Wake Forest @ Mississippi State Preview

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Wake Forest
Mississippi State
Home field: Bank of America Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Wake Forest vs Mississippi State?

At kick-off, conditions at Bank of America Stadium were Partly cloudy, 48.2°F, Wind Chill 48.2°F with winds of 3.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: January 03, 2026
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

48.2°F

Wind Chill: 48.2°F
Wind: 3.6 mph WSW
Gusts: 6.9 mph
Precipitation: 1.02"
Humidity: 82%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Wake Forest (Away)

This Week: 70.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6241.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 35

Mississippi State (Home)

This Week: 469.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 4225.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 36

What happened in the game?

Wake Forest travels 71 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Wake Forest won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Wake Forest covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do Wake Forest and Mississippi State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Mississippi State (13.3) over Wake Forest (1.9) by 11.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Mississippi State brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Wake Forest won and Wake Forest covered the spread.