Duke's Mayo Bowl
Bank of America StadiumNeutral site

Wake Forest43 @FINAL 29Mississippi State , Postseason, Jan 3, 2026

8-4 ACC Power rating: 1.9
5-7 SEC Power rating: 13.3

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MSST -3.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MSST -11.4
Edge
+8.4MSST
See details
◂ favors WAKEfavors MSST ▸Market: MSST -3.0
11.4 › MSST
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5 WAKE5 MSSTModel: MSST -11.4

Betting information

Spread
MSST -3.0
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
WAKE 24.8 – 27.8 MSST

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Wake Forest defeated Mississippi State 43–29 in a double-digit victory. Wake Forest covered by 17.0; Game went Over by 19.5. The market closed at Mississippi State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Mississippi State -11.4 - a gap of 8.4 points toward Mississippi State, of which 8.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Mississippi State 11.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Wake Forest vs Mississippi State?

At kickoff, conditions at Bank of America Stadium were Partly cloudy, 48°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Wake Forest travels 71 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Wake Forest won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Wake Forest covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do Wake Forest and Mississippi State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Mississippi State (13.3) over Wake Forest (1.9) by 11.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Wake Forest won and Wake Forest covered the spread.

Conditions

as of January 3, 2026 Game-time

Partly cloudy

48°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity82%
Wind4 mph WSW
Gusts7 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Wake Forest at Mississippi State: aerial view of Bank of America Stadium, wind from the WSW at 3.6 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM EST
Venue
Bank of America Stadium
Capacity
74,867
Elevation
732 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Wake ForestAway Mississippi StateHome
This week71 miles470 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total6,241 miles4,225 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest35 days36 days