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College Football Playoff First Round Game •
Kyle FieldNeutral site

Miami10 @FINAL 3Texas A&M

10-2 ACC Power rating: 26.0
11-1 SEC Power rating: 23.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TA&M -3.0
PM Implied
TA&M -2.5
Blue Chip model
MIA -1.8
Edge
-4.8MIA
See details
◂ favors MIAfavors TA&M ▸Market: TA&M -3.0
MIA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
TA&M
no impact
TA&M
2 MIA2 TA&M4 MIA4 TA&MModel: MIA -1.8

Betting information

Spread
TA&M -3.0
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
MIA 22.8 – 25.8 TA&M
Prediction markets
TA&M 60% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Miami defeated Texas A&M 10–3 in a one-score game. Miami covered by 10.0; Game went Under by 35.5. The market closed at Texas A&M -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Miami -1.8 - a gap of 4.8 points toward Miami, of which 4.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Miami vs Texas A&M?

At kickoff, conditions at Kyle Field were Sunny, 74°F with winds of 13 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Miami travels 1,031 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Miami arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Miami won by 7 in a one-score game.

Miami covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 35.5 points.

How do Miami and Texas A&M compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Miami (26.0) over Texas A&M (23.6) by 2.4 points on a neutral field. Texas A&M faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Miami and Texas A&M?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Miami won and Miami covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 20, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

74°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity67%
Wind13 mph SSW
Gusts19 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Miami at Texas A&M: aerial view of Kyle Field, wind from the SSW at 12.8 mph, gusting to 18.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CST
Venue
Kyle Field
Capacity
102,733
Elevation
367 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

MiamiAway Texas A&MHome
This week1,031 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total7,578 miles4,713 miles
Body clock12:0011:00
Rest21 days21 days

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