Miami Hurricanes is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +22.7. Miami Hurricanes enters the season with a power rating of +22.7, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Miami Hurricanes host Florida A&M next in Week 2. In 2025, Miami Hurricanes went 13-3 overall, 11-5 against the spread, and 6-10 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Miami Hurricanes Power Rating of +22.7 is 22.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Miami Hurricanes have logged 5,139 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 11,435 miles, ranking 21st heaviest in the FBS.
Darian Mensah QB, Cooper Barkate WR, Malachi Toney WR, Mark Fletcher Jr. RB, Ryan Rodriguez OL, Jackson Cantwell OL, Samson Okunlola OL, Matthew McCoy OL
Damon Wilson II EDGE, Marquise Lightfoot EDGE, Armondo Blount DL, Ahmad Moten Sr. DL, Justin Scott DL, Romanas Frederique Jr. CB, Xavier Lucas CB, Zechariah Poyser S, Bryce Fitzgerald S, Omar Thornton S, Mohamed Toure LB, Chase Smith LB, Kamal Bonner LB
Jack Olsen K, Jake Weinberg K, Dylan Joyce P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Week 8 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| Week 9 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 2-6 |
| Week 11 | 7-2 | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 10-2 | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Postseason | 13-3 | 11-5 | 6-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +19.4 in the preseason and finished +26.0 after the postseason, a move of +6.6 points. High +26.0 (the postseason), low +19.3 (week 0).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -0.7 is regressed to +1.6 before it is applied, a difference of 2.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Florida A&M | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Wake Forest | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Central Michigan | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Clemson | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Florida State | 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Pittsburgh | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| North Carolina | 8 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Notre Dame | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Duke | 8 | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Virginia Tech | 9 | 7-2 | 4-5 |
| Boston College | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Week 011,435 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Stanford | 2,569 mi | 5,139 mi |
| Week 2 | Florida A&M | Home | 5,139 mi |
| Week 3 | Wake Forest | 701 mi | 6,541 mi |
| Week 4 | Central Michigan | Home | 6,541 mi |
| Week 5 | Clemson | 621 mi | 7,782 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | Florida State | Home | 7,782 mi |
| Week 8 | Pittsburgh | Home | 7,782 mi |
| Week 9 | North Carolina | 689 mi | 9,160 mi |
| Week 10 | Notre Dame | 1,138 mi | 11,435 mi |
| Week 11 | Duke | Home | 11,435 mi |
| Week 12 | Virginia Tech | Home | 11,435 mi |
| Week 13 | Boston College | Home | 11,435 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Miami enters the season with one of the most explosive offenses in the ACC, led by quarterback Darian Mensah, who threw for 34 touchdowns and just six interceptions while leading Duke to the ACC title in 2025. He reunites with his top target, Cooper Barkate, who posted 1,106 receiving yards and seven scores last year. The Hurricanes also bring back slot receiver Malachi Toney (1,211 yards, 10 touchdowns) and running back Mark Fletcher Jr. (1,192 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns), giving the unit multiple proven playmakers. The main concern is an offensive line that lost four starters, with center Ryan Rodriguez, true freshman tackle Jackson Cantwell, and former five-star recruit Samson Okunlola stepping into key roles alongside the lone returning starter, Matthew McCoy.
The defensive front should remain a strength despite losing standout ends Rueben Bain Jr. and Akheem Mesidor. Missouri transfer Damon Wilson II, who recorded nine sacks in 2025, joins a rotation that includes returning edge rushers Marquise Lightfoot and Armondo Blount, plus tackles Ahmad Moten Sr. and Justin Scott, who combined for 11 sacks and 6.5 tackles for loss last season. The secondary is also deep, with cornerbacks Romanas Frederique Jr. and Xavier Lucas leading a group that returns its top four corners, while safeties Zechariah Poyser, Bryce Fitzgerald, and Boston College transfer Omar Thornton add experience. The biggest question mark is at linebacker, where Mohamed Toure (84 tackles) is the only proven starter, and players like Chase Smith and Kamal Bonner will need to step up.
Miami looks solid in the kicking game, with Northwestern transfer Jack Olsen handling field goals after making 19 of 21 attempts last season, and Florida State transfer Jake Weinberg taking over kickoffs. Punter Dylan Joyce returns after averaging 44.4 yards per punt, one of the best marks in the ACC. The return game should be a threat with Malachi Toney, who averaged 13.0 yards per punt return, giving the Hurricanes a potential field-position advantage in close games.
After reaching the national title game last season, Miami is positioned as the ACC favorite and a legitimate playoff contender. Head coach Mario Cristobal has built a roster with depth and star power, but the team's success will depend on avoiding the heartbreaking losses that have plagued recent seasons. An opposing ACC assistant coach believes Cristobal's growth as a game manager, learned from those painful defeats, will be key to winning the conference. The Hurricanes open with a tough road trip to Stanford, where they are heavy favorites, but the real test will come in conference play and against a schedule that includes significant travel.
Miami Hurricanes is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Miami Hurricanes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +22.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Miami Hurricanes's home field advantage rating is 1.6 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Miami Hurricanes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 10.5 wins, priced at -140 over and +110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Miami Hurricanes travels 11,435 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 21st heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Miami Hurricanes: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +22.7 (2026 records).
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