26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Miami Hurricanes is 7-0 on the season, 5-2 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +25.0. Miami Hurricanes is covering the spread at 70% since the start of last season (16-7), well above the FBS average. The Miami Hurricanes head to North Carolina next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Miami Hurricanes Power Rating of +25.0 is 25.0 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Miami Hurricanes have logged 7,782 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 11,435 miles, ranking 21st heaviest in the FBS.
Darian Mensah QB, Cooper Barkate WR, Malachi Toney WR, Mark Fletcher Jr. RB, Ryan Rodriguez OL, Jackson Cantwell OL, Samson Okunlola OL, Matthew McCoy OL
Damon Wilson II EDGE, Marquise Lightfoot EDGE, Armondo Blount DL, Ahmad Moten Sr. DL, Justin Scott DL, Romanas Frederique Jr. CB, Xavier Lucas CB, Zechariah Poyser S, Bryce Fitzgerald S, Omar Thornton S, Mohamed Toure LB, Chase Smith LB, Kamal Bonner LB
Jack Olsen K, Jake Weinberg K, Dylan Joyce P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Week 6 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Week 8 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| Week 9 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 2-6 |
| Week 11 | 7-2 | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 10-2 | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Postseason | 13-3 | 11-5 | 6-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +21.6 in the preseason and finished +25.0 after week 8, a move of +3.4 points. High +26.5 (week 6), low +21.6 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -0.7 is regressed to +1.6 before it is applied, a difference of 2.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Florida A&M | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Wake Forest | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Central Michigan | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Clemson | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Florida State | 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Pittsburgh | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| North Carolina | 8 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Notre Dame | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Duke | 8 | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Virginia Tech | 9 | 7-2 | 4-5 |
| Boston College | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Week 011,435 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Stanford | 2,569 mi | 5,139 mi |
| Week 2 | Florida A&M | Home | 5,139 mi |
| Week 3 | Wake Forest | 701 mi | 6,541 mi |
| Week 4 | Central Michigan | Home | 6,541 mi |
| Week 5 | Clemson | 621 mi | 7,782 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | Florida State | Home | 7,782 mi |
| Week 8 | Pittsburgh | Home | 7,782 mi |
| Week 9 | North Carolina | 689 mi | 9,160 mi |
| Week 10 | Notre Dame | 1,138 mi | 11,435 mi |
| Week 11 | Duke | Home | 11,435 mi |
| Week 12 | Virginia Tech | Home | 11,435 mi |
| Week 13 | Boston College | Home | 11,435 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Quarterback Darian Mensah, a transfer from Duke, has been nearly flawless in his first season at Miami. He opened his Hurricanes career by completing 27 of 30 passes for 401 yards and five touchdowns at Stanford, setting program records for passing yards and touchdowns in a debut. Through six games, Mensah has thrown for 1,764 yards with 17 touchdowns and just one interception, and his completion percentage of 88.7% ranks among the best in the country. His favorite target, Malachi Toney, set a school record with 234 receiving yards in the opener and has 47 catches for 696 yards and six scores. The duo has connected on numerous big plays, including a 47-yard touchdown against Stanford and a 3-yard game-winner in double overtime against Florida State. Mensah's streak of 153 pass attempts without an interception to start his Miami career ended in the Florida State game, but his efficiency and decision-making have been elite.
Miami entered the season with concerns about an offensive line that lost four starters, but the rebuilt unit has performed well. Center Ryan Rodriguez, true freshman tackle Jackson Cantwell, and former five-star Samson Okunlola have protected Mensah, who has been sacked only a handful of times. The line has also opened holes for a deep backfield. Mark Fletcher Jr. has rushed for 454 yards and six touchdowns, while Javian Mallory has added 342 yards and five scores. In the 41-13 win at Clemson, Miami outgained the Tigers on the ground 192-55, wearing them down in the second half. The line's performance has been a pleasant surprise and a key reason the offense ranks among the nation's best.
Miami's defense features a strong defensive line led by Damon Wilson II, Marquise Lightfoot, Armondo Blount, and Ahmad Moten Sr. The unit recorded six sacks against Clemson and has been disruptive in stretches. However, the pass rush has been inconsistent, going two games without a sack before the Clemson game. The secondary, led by cornerbacks Romanas Frederique Jr. and Xavier Lucas and safeties Zechariah Poyser and Bryce Fitzgerald, has had its ups and downs. In the 43-35 double-overtime win over Florida State, the Hurricanes allowed 298 passing yards and four touchdowns, including a 75-yarder that tied the game late. Fitzgerald sealed the win with an interception on the final play, but the pass defense will need to improve against high-powered offenses.
The Hurricanes are 6-0 for the second straight season, but they have shown they are not invincible. After blowout wins over Stanford and Florida A&M, Miami struggled to put away Wake Forest in a 33-20 road win, failing to cover a 20.5-point spread. Against Florida State, the Hurricanes needed double overtime to escape with a 43-35 victory, again failing to cover a 19.5-point line. The offense has been explosive at times but has also had lulls, and the defense has given up big plays. The team's ability to win close games is a positive, but the inconsistent performances against lesser competition suggest there is room for improvement.
Miami's remaining schedule includes a home game against Pittsburgh (5-2) and a highly anticipated road trip to Notre Dame on Nov. 7. The Panthers have a respectable record but are not considered a major threat, while the Fighting Irish could provide a significant challenge. The Hurricanes will need to clean up their inconsistencies, particularly on defense, to navigate the rest of the ACC schedule and stay in the College Football Playoff hunt. With Mensah playing at an elite level and a talented supporting cast, Miami has the pieces to make a run, but the margin for error is shrinking.
Miami Hurricanes is 5-2 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 71% of games.
Miami Hurricanes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +25.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Miami Hurricanes's home field advantage rating is 1.6 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Miami Hurricanes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 10.5 wins, priced at -140 over and +110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Miami Hurricanes travels 11,435 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 21st heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Miami Hurricanes: 7-0 overall, 5-2 ATS, power rating +25.0 (2026 records).