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Temple Owls is 2-5 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -11.4. Temple Owls holds a power rating of -11.4, placing them in the weaker tier of the FBS and typically entering games as a significant underdog. The Temple Owls head to East Carolina next in Week 9.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Temple Owls Power Rating of -11.4 is 11.4 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Temple Owls have logged 2,764 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,349 miles, ranking 98th heaviest in the FBS.
Jaxon Smolik QB, Ajani Sheppard QB, Peter Clarke TE, Colin Chase WR, JoJo Bermudez WR, Sam Brown V RB, Hunter Smith RB
Curly Ordonez LB, Eric Stuart LB, Saboor Karriem S
Dante Atton P, Carl Hardin K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Week 6 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 6-1 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Week 10 | 5-4 | 6-3 | 7-2 |
| Week 11 | 5-5 | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 5-6 | 7-4 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 5-7 | 7-5 | 8-4 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -10.7 in the preseason and finished -11.4 after week 8, a move of -0.8 points. High -5.8 (week 6), low -11.4 (week 8).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +5.6 is regressed to +3.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0-1 |
| Army | 4 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| South Florida | 8 | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| UConn | 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Charlotte | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| East Carolina | 9 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Navy | 9 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
| UAB | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Memphis | 6 | 2-4 | 3-3 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Rhode Island, Toledo, Rice.
Week 05,349 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Rhode Island | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Penn State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Toledo | 459 mi | 918 mi |
| Week 4 | Army | Home | 918 mi |
| Week 5 | South Florida | 923 mi | 2,764 mi |
| Week 6 | UConn | Home | 2,764 mi |
| Week 7 | Charlotte | Home | 2,764 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | East Carolina | 320 mi | 3,404 mi |
| Week 10 | Navy | 96 mi | 3,596 mi |
| Week 11 | UAB | Home | 3,596 mi |
| Week 12 | Rice | Home | 3,596 mi |
| Week 13 | Memphis | 877 mi | 5,349 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Temple entered 2026 with K.C. Keeler in his second season and a quarterback competition that was still open in the spring. Penn State transfer Jaxon Smolik took the first snaps, but after a 59-yard, one-interception outing against the Nittany Lions he was replaced by Washington State transfer Ajani Sheppard, who has since taken over. Sheppard's first start came against Army, where he threw for 243 yards and two scores, and he has since produced a 260-yard passing day against UConn. The offense has shown real big-play ability, scoring 38 on Rhode Island, 48 at Toledo, and 20 against UConn, with Sheppard connecting on long touchdowns to JoJo Bermudez (79 yards) and Colin Chase (67 yards). Tyler Walker's unit is no longer the stalled group that ended 2025 on a four-game losing streak.
Temple's defensive front was a major question mark in the preseason after allowing 197.3 rushing yards per game in 2025, and those concerns have been validated. The Owls have surrendered 27 points to Penn State, 49 to Toledo, 21 to Army's triple-option, and 34 to UConn. Against UConn, the Huskies rushed for four touchdowns, including a 51-yard burst by Trey Cornist that set up a score. Army piled up 281 yards on the ground. The linebacker corps, led by Curly Ordonez and Eric Stuart, was expected to be a strength, but Ordonez is still working back from offseason surgery, and the rebuilt defensive line has not held up on early downs. Until the Owls can stop the run, they will struggle to get off the field and will keep opposing offenses in games.
Punter Dante Atton returns as a field-position weapon, and kicker Carl Hardin has been reliable on field goals and PATs, though his 52-yard attempt against Penn State was partially blocked. JoJo Bermudez remains a dangerous punt returner, and the return game could swing a close contest. In a season where Temple has played several one-score games, these hidden yards matter. The Owls have also benefited from a favorable travel schedule: their first two games were at home with zero travel, and they have only made two road trips (459 miles to Toledo and 923 miles to South Florida). That situational edge has helped them stay competitive and cover spreads.
The Owls are 2-4, but four of their losses have been by margins of 18, 1, 4, and 14 points. They led Toledo 42-28 with 6:40 left before allowing two late touchdowns and an onside kick recovery, eventually losing in overtime. Against Army, they held a 17-14 lead with 7:38 remaining but could not stop a 12-play, 72-yard drive. Against UConn, they led 17-14 in the second quarter but were outscored 20-3 the rest of the way. This pattern of letting leads slip away is a major reason they sit below .500. The offense has shown it can score, but the defense has not been able to make stops when it matters most.
Temple's next game is at home against Charlotte, which is 0-6 with a power rating of -28.21. The Owls are 21.5-point favorites, and the prediction market gives them a 93 percent win probability. After that, the schedule remains manageable, and Temple has already shown it can compete with teams like South Florida, which it beat 17-13 on the road. With Sheppard settled at quarterback and the offense finding its rhythm, the Owls have a real opportunity to string together wins and push for their first winning season since 2019. The key will be whether the run defense can improve enough to protect leads and close out games.
Temple Owls is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.
Temple Owls holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -11.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Temple Owls's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Temple Owls's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -220 over and +160 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Temple Owls travels 5,349 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 98th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Temple Owls: 2-5 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating -11.4 (2026 records).