Temple Owls

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Temple Owls is 2-5 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -11.4. Temple Owls holds a power rating of -11.4, placing them in the weaker tier of the FBS and typically entering games as a significant underdog. The Temple Owls head to East Carolina next in Week 9.

Conference: American Athletic Conference
Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Power Rating (most current): -11.4
HFA Rating:3.3 pts
2026 Win Total:4.5
2026 Record: 2-5
2026 ATS: 4-3
2026 O/U: 3-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Temple Owls Power Rating of -11.4 is 11.4 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Temple Owls have logged 2,764 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,349 miles, ranking 98th heaviest in the FBS.

Temple Owls Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachK.C. Keeler
Tenure1 season
Record at school5-7
Career record276-119-1 (32 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorTyler Walker
Defensive coordinatorBrian L. Smith

Offense

Jaxon Smolik QB, Ajani Sheppard QB, Peter Clarke TE, Colin Chase WR, JoJo Bermudez WR, Sam Brown V RB, Hunter Smith RB

Defense

Curly Ordonez LB, Eric Stuart LB, Saboor Karriem S

Special teams

Dante Atton P, Carl Hardin K

2025 Season in Review

Record5-7 ATS7-5 O/U8-4
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-02-02-0
Week 32-12-12-1
Week 42-23-13-1
Week 63-24-13-2
Week 73-35-14-2
Week 84-36-15-2
Week 95-36-26-2
Week 105-46-37-2
Week 115-57-37-3
Week 135-67-47-4
Week 145-77-58-4

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -10.7 in the preseason and finished -11.4 after week 8, a move of -0.8 points. High -5.8 (week 6), low -11.4 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -10.7 to -11.4.

PreW8

Temple Owls SP+ Profile

Offence+25.273 of 138higher is better
Defence+34.3117 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.349 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.9 pts
HFA measured+5.6 pts
HFA applied+3.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +5.6 is regressed to +3.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Penn State10-10-0-1
Army40-42-2
South Florida85-34-4
UConn53-24-1
Charlotte22-01-1
East Carolina94-54-5
Navy94-56-3
UAB10-10-1
Memphis62-43-3

No meeting on record since 2016: Rhode Island, Toledo, Rice.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home33-2833-28 ATS · 61 games
On the road17-3826-28-1 ATS · 55 games
Neutral site1-31-3 ATS · 4 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,349 miles - ranked 98th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,349 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,349 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Rhode IslandHome0 mi
Week 2Penn StateHome0 mi
Week 3Toledo459 mi918 mi
Week 4ArmyHome918 mi
Week 5South Florida923 mi2,764 mi
Week 6UConnHome2,764 mi
Week 7CharlotteHome2,764 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9East Carolina320 mi3,404 mi
Week 10Navy96 mi3,596 mi
Week 11UABHome3,596 mi
Week 12RiceHome3,596 mi
Week 13Memphis877 mi5,349 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Temple Owls Season Outlook

Keeler's second year brings a new quarterback and a live offense

Temple entered 2026 with K.C. Keeler in his second season and a quarterback competition that was still open in the spring. Penn State transfer Jaxon Smolik took the first snaps, but after a 59-yard, one-interception outing against the Nittany Lions he was replaced by Washington State transfer Ajani Sheppard, who has since taken over. Sheppard's first start came against Army, where he threw for 243 yards and two scores, and he has since produced a 260-yard passing day against UConn. The offense has shown real big-play ability, scoring 38 on Rhode Island, 48 at Toledo, and 20 against UConn, with Sheppard connecting on long touchdowns to JoJo Bermudez (79 yards) and Colin Chase (67 yards). Tyler Walker's unit is no longer the stalled group that ended 2025 on a four-game losing streak.

The run defense remains the glaring weakness

Temple's defensive front was a major question mark in the preseason after allowing 197.3 rushing yards per game in 2025, and those concerns have been validated. The Owls have surrendered 27 points to Penn State, 49 to Toledo, 21 to Army's triple-option, and 34 to UConn. Against UConn, the Huskies rushed for four touchdowns, including a 51-yard burst by Trey Cornist that set up a score. Army piled up 281 yards on the ground. The linebacker corps, led by Curly Ordonez and Eric Stuart, was expected to be a strength, but Ordonez is still working back from offseason surgery, and the rebuilt defensive line has not held up on early downs. Until the Owls can stop the run, they will struggle to get off the field and will keep opposing offenses in games.

Special teams and hidden yards provide a real edge

Punter Dante Atton returns as a field-position weapon, and kicker Carl Hardin has been reliable on field goals and PATs, though his 52-yard attempt against Penn State was partially blocked. JoJo Bermudez remains a dangerous punt returner, and the return game could swing a close contest. In a season where Temple has played several one-score games, these hidden yards matter. The Owls have also benefited from a favorable travel schedule: their first two games were at home with zero travel, and they have only made two road trips (459 miles to Toledo and 923 miles to South Florida). That situational edge has helped them stay competitive and cover spreads.

Temple has been competitive but struggles to close out games

The Owls are 2-4, but four of their losses have been by margins of 18, 1, 4, and 14 points. They led Toledo 42-28 with 6:40 left before allowing two late touchdowns and an onside kick recovery, eventually losing in overtime. Against Army, they held a 17-14 lead with 7:38 remaining but could not stop a 12-play, 72-yard drive. Against UConn, they led 17-14 in the second quarter but were outscored 20-3 the rest of the way. This pattern of letting leads slip away is a major reason they sit below .500. The offense has shown it can score, but the defense has not been able to make stops when it matters most.

The schedule lightens, offering a chance to build momentum

Temple's next game is at home against Charlotte, which is 0-6 with a power rating of -28.21. The Owls are 21.5-point favorites, and the prediction market gives them a 93 percent win probability. After that, the schedule remains manageable, and Temple has already shown it can compete with teams like South Florida, which it beat 17-13 on the road. With Sheppard settled at quarterback and the offense finding its rhythm, the Owls have a real opportunity to string together wins and push for their first winning season since 2019. The key will be whether the run defense can improve enough to protect leads and close out games.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Temple Owls's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Temple Owls is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.

What is Temple Owls's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Temple Owls holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -11.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Temple Owls's home field advantage rating?

Temple Owls's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Temple Owls's 2026 win total?

Temple Owls's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -220 over and +160 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Temple Owls travel in 2026?

Temple Owls travels 5,349 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 98th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Temple Owls: 2-5 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating -11.4 (2026 records).