Temple Owls

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Temple Owls is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -8.5. Temple Owls enters the season with a power rating of -8.5, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Temple Owls host Penn State next in Week 2. In 2025, Temple Owls went 5-7 overall, 7-5 against the spread, and 8-4 on totals.

Conference: American Athletic Conference
Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Power Rating (most current): -8.5
HFA Rating:3.3 pts
2026 Win Total:4.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Temple Owls Power Rating of -8.5 is 8.5 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Temple Owls have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 5,349 miles, ranking 98th heaviest in the FBS.

Temple Owls Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachK.C. Keeler
Tenure1 season
Record at school5-7
Career record276-119-1 (32 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorTyler Walker
Defensive coordinatorBrian L. Smith

Offense

Jaxon Smolik QB, Ajani Sheppard QB, Peter Clarke TE, Colin Chase WR, JoJo Bermudez WR, Sam Brown V RB, Hunter Smith RB

Defense

Curly Ordonez LB, Eric Stuart LB, Saboor Karriem S

Special teams

Dante Atton P, Carl Hardin K

2025 Season in Review

Record5-7 ATS7-5 O/U8-4
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-02-02-0
Week 32-12-12-1
Week 42-23-13-1
Week 63-24-13-2
Week 73-35-14-2
Week 84-36-15-2
Week 95-36-26-2
Week 105-46-37-2
Week 115-57-37-3
Week 135-67-47-4
Week 145-77-58-4

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -10.7 in the preseason and finished -8.5 after week 2, a move of +2.1 points. High -8.5 (week 2), low -10.7 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from -10.7 to -8.5.

PreW2

Temple Owls SP+ Profile

Offence+25.273 of 138higher is better
Defence+34.3117 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.349 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.9 pts
HFA measured+5.6 pts
HFA applied+3.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +5.6 is regressed to +3.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Penn State10-10-0-1
Army40-42-2
South Florida85-34-4
UConn53-24-1
Charlotte22-01-1
East Carolina94-54-5
Navy94-56-3
UAB10-10-1
Memphis62-43-3

No meeting on record since 2016: Rhode Island, Toledo, Rice.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home33-2833-28 ATS · 61 games
On the road17-3826-28-1 ATS · 55 games
Neutral site1-31-3 ATS · 4 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

5,349 miles - ranked 98th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 5,349 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 05,349 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Rhode IslandHome0 mi
Week 2Penn StateHome0 mi
Week 3Toledo459 mi918 mi
Week 4ArmyHome918 mi
Week 5South Florida923 mi2,764 mi
Week 6UConnHome2,764 mi
Week 7CharlotteHome2,764 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9East Carolina320 mi3,404 mi
Week 10Navy96 mi3,596 mi
Week 11UABHome3,596 mi
Week 12RiceHome3,596 mi
Week 13Memphis877 mi5,349 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Temple Owls Season Outlook

Ground Game and Defense Carry the Opener

Temple opened 2026 with a convincing 38-14 win over Rhode Island, powered by Keveun Mason's 158 rushing yards and two touchdowns. The defense added two pick-sixes, one by Tyree Alualu from 63 yards and another by Jamarcus Pierre from 35 yards, showing a playmaking ability that was missing during last year's four-game losing streak. The Owls covered the 14.5-point spread and hit the over, a strong start for a team that finished 5-7 in 2025.

Run Defense Shows Improvement, But Test Awaits

Last season Temple ranked among the nation's worst in rushing defense, allowing 197.3 yards per game, and the unit returned few proven starters up front. Against Rhode Island, the defense held up well, but the Rams are an FCS opponent. The real test comes in Week 2 against No. 18 Penn State, which will challenge the rebuilt defensive line with a power running game. If the Owls can hold up there, it will signal genuine progress.

Special Teams and Home Field Provide Stability

Temple plays at Lincoln Financial Field, where they have a meaningful home-field advantage and no travel for the first two games. Senior punter Dante Atton and kicker Carl Hardin, who converted 11-of-14 field goals and all 40 PATs last year, anchor a veteran special teams unit. JoJo Bermudez flashed elite punt return potential in 2025, and the Owls will need those hidden yards to stay competitive in a brutal upcoming stretch.

Brutal Stretch Ahead Tests Keeler's Progress

After the Rhode Island win, Temple faces No. 18 Penn State at home, where they are heavy underdogs with a 6% win probability. The schedule does not get easier, and the Owls must avoid a repeat of last season's late collapse, when they dropped their final four games to miss bowl eligibility. Head coach K.C. Keeler, who has a 276-119-1 career record, brought in 12 power-conference transfers, but the roster's depth will be tested. The next few weeks will reveal whether this team can take the next step toward a first winning season since 2019.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Temple Owls's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Temple Owls is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is Temple Owls's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Temple Owls holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -8.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Temple Owls's home field advantage rating?

Temple Owls's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Temple Owls's 2026 win total?

Temple Owls's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -220 over and +160 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Temple Owls travel in 2026?

Temple Owls travels 5,349 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 98th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Temple Owls: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating -8.5 (2026 records).