Week 13 • November 27, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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American
Power Rank: -9.1
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American
Power Rank: 3.3

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Memphis (power rating: 3.3) holds a 12.4-point edge over Temple (-9.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Memphis's home field adds 2.5 points to that edge at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Temple travels 877 miles for this game — check the travel panel for rest and body clock context. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 PM CST
Stadium: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 315 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis -12.4

Line Value Calculator

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Temple
Memphis
Home field — Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Temple vs Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium shows Partly Cloudy — 75.6°F, Feels Like 67.1°F with winds of 2.2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

75.6°F

Feels Like: 67.1°F
Wind: 2.2 mph SW
Gusts: 4.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 79%
Rain Chance: 10%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Temple (Away)

This Week: 876.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4472.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 8

Memphis (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1579.6 miles
Season Total: 10518.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 6

What are the key factors for Temple vs Memphis?

Temple: Key Factors

Quarterback competition remains unresolved

The Owls enter Week 1 with a two-man battle between Jaxon Smolik (Penn State transfer) and Ajani Sheppard (Washington State transfer). Neither has separated decisively, and the offense's rhythm could be affected if the starter is pulled early or if both see significant snaps. This uncertainty may limit Temple's ability to establish a consistent passing attack against Rhode Island.

Rushing defense must prove improvement

Temple ranked among the nation's worst in rushing defense last season (197.3 ypg) and returns an unproven defensive line with many new faces. Rhode Island will likely test this weakness early. If the Owls cannot stop the run, it could force the offense into a shootout and put pressure on the unsettled quarterback situation.

Veteran linebacker duo is key to defensive stability

Curly Ordonez (All-Conference honorable mention) and Eric Stuart provide experience and production at linebacker. However, Ordonez is returning from offseason surgery, so his health and conditioning will be critical. If both are at full strength, they can mask some of the defensive line's inexperience and help contain Rhode Island's ground game.

Home-field advantage and cool weather favor Temple

Playing at Lincoln Financial Field with a 2.7-point home-field advantage and a forecast of 56°F with light wind gives Temple a slight edge. The cool, dry conditions should not hinder the Owls' passing game, but could affect Rhode Island's comfort, especially if they are not accustomed to such temperatures early in the season.

Special teams could provide a spark

Punter Dante Atton and kicker Carl Hardin (11/14 FG, 40/40 PAT last year) are reliable, while JoJo Bermudez is a dynamic punt returner. In a potentially low-scoring or close game, field position and a big return could be decisive. Temple's special teams unit is a clear strength that can tilt the game in their favor.

Memphis: Key Factors

New-look offense faces first test

Memphis enters with a completely revamped offense under first-year coordinator Kevin Decker, featuring a quarterback battle between Marcus Stokes (Division II standout) and Air Noland (South Carolina transfer). The running back trio of Jaylin Carter, Manny Covey, and Dallan Hayden provides depth, but the passing game's timing and chemistry are unproven. Arkansas State's defense will test how quickly this unit can gel.

Defensive transfers must anchor early

The 4-2-5 scheme led by coordinator Lance Guidry relies heavily on Southern Miss transfers: linebacker Mike Montgomery, safety Ian Foster, and defensive lineman J'Mond Tapp. Foster's versatility as a nickel corner and blitzer is critical, but the rest of the linebacker corps has only 23 career tackles combined. Arkansas State's offense could exploit that inexperience if the front seven doesn't hold up.

Special teams could provide a spark

Memphis boasts elite return specialists in Ian Foster, Alante Brown, and Manny Covey, all with proven big-play ability. Foster led the nation in long kickoff returns in 2024, Brown averaged 53.5 yards per return in 2025, and Covey averaged nearly 10 yards per punt return. In a season opener where offensive rhythm may be inconsistent, a special teams touchdown or field position advantage could be decisive.

Home-field advantage and weather factors

Playing at home with a 2.5-point venue HFA gives Memphis a slight edge, but the forecast calls for overcast skies, 66°F, and 16 mph wind. The wind could affect the passing game, especially for a new quarterback, and may force a heavier reliance on the running game. Arkansas State's travel (0 miles) is negligible, so the Tigers must capitalize on their own crowd and adapt to the conditions.

Coaching transition and team identity

First-year head coach Charles Huff brings a disciplined, no-nonsense approach (e.g., no music at practice) and a track record of success from Southern Miss. The roster is built largely through transfers, so team chemistry and execution of new systems are unknowns. How quickly Huff's culture takes hold will be evident in the Tigers' discipline, especially in critical situations like third downs and red zone efficiency.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Temple travels 877 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Temple arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

How do Temple and Memphis compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Memphis (3.3) over Temple (-9.1) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Memphis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Memphis as the stronger team by 12.4 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.