Army Black Knights is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -1.7. Army Black Knights enters the season with a power rating of -1.7, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Army Black Knights host South Florida next in Week 2. In 2025, Army Black Knights went 7-6 overall, 7-6 against the spread, and 5-8 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Army Black Knights Power Rating of -1.7 is 1.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Army Black Knights have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 10,020 miles, ranking 33rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cale Hellums QB, Godspower Nwawuihe RB, Brady Small OL
Kody Harris-Miller DL, Jack Bousum EDGE, Dillon Stowers EDGE, Bryson Banks LB, Elijah Walton LB, Jaydan Mayes CB, Julian Porter CB
Dawson Jones K, James Wagenseller P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 2-6 |
| Week 11 | 5-4 | 4-5 | 2-7 |
| Week 13 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Week 14 | 6-5 | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Week 16 | 6-6 | 6-6 | 4-8 |
| Postseason | 7-6 | 7-6 | 5-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -5.4 in the preseason and finished -1.0 after the postseason, a move of +4.4 points. High 0.0 (week 14), low -5.6 (week 3).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -1.0 is regressed to +1.6 before it is applied, a difference of 2.6 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Temple | 4 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Louisiana Tech | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Tulane | 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Florida Atlantic | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Tulsa | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Air Force | 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| East Carolina | 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Rice | 4 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Navy | 10 | 6-4 | 6-3-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Bryant, South Florida, Memphis.
Week 010,020 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Bryant | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | South Florida | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | - | Bye | |
| Week 4 | Temple | 120 mi | 241 mi |
| Week 5 | Louisiana Tech | 1,197 mi | 2,636 mi |
| Week 6 | Tulane | Home | 2,636 mi |
| Week 7 | Florida Atlantic | Home | 2,636 mi |
| Week 8 | Tulsa | 1,237 mi | 5,109 mi |
| Week 9 | Memphis | 970 mi | 7,050 mi |
| Week 10 | Air Force | Home | 7,050 mi |
| Week 11 | - | Bye | |
| Week 12 | East Carolina | Home | 7,050 mi |
| Week 13 | Rice | 1,445 mi | 9,940 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | Navy | 40 mi | 10,020 mi |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Cale Hellums returns after a breakout 2025 season where he led the nation in carries with 304, rushed for 1,223 yards, and tied for third nationally with 18 rushing touchdowns. The key question is whether he can maintain that workload while sharing touches with sophomore Godspower Nwawuihe, who showed big-play ability with 171 rushing yards and two long touchdowns in the Fenway Bowl. Nwawuihe's background as a quarterback gives offensive coordinator Cody Worley flexibility to use him in multiple formations, but the loss of Briggs Bartosh to a neck injury removes a deep threat. The offensive line, anchored by senior center Brady Small who has started all 39 games of his career, returns four starters and should provide a solid foundation.
Army enters the season with eight new starters on defense and a new coordinator in Daryl Dixon, who replaced Nate Woody. The defensive line is the most experienced unit, led by senior nose tackle Kody Harris-Miller in his third year as a starter, with junior end Jack Bousum showing pro potential and senior end Dillon Stowers improving steadily. The biggest concern is at inside linebacker, where the team must replace captains Kalib Fortner and Andon Thomas. Sophomores Bryson Banks and Elijah Walton are expected to step in, but their inexperience is a risk. In the secondary, cornerback Jaydan Mayes is the only returning starter and will need to anchor a young group that includes sophomore Julian Porter.
Last season, Hellums accounted for 40% of Army's carries, which is unsustainable for a team that wants to compete for a conference title. The departure of Noah Short, who had 1,009 yards from scrimmage, leaves a significant hole in the passing game and overall playmaking. The coaching staff will need to find ways to get Nwawuihe more involved and develop other receivers to take pressure off Hellums. The offensive line's experience should help, but the team must prove it can diversify its attack beyond the quarterback run game.
The Week 2 home game against South Florida is seen as a key test for whether Army can be a contender in the American Athletic Conference. The Black Knights have a favorable schedule early, starting with Bryant at home, but the defense's youth and the inside linebacker inexperience are concerns that could be exposed against more athletic opponents. With a veteran offensive line and a proven quarterback, Army has the pieces to win 9-10 games, but they must avoid overreliance on Hellums and get consistent production from the new defensive starters. The season will hinge on how quickly the young defense matures and whether the offense can find balance.
Army Black Knights is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Army Black Knights holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -1.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Army Black Knights's home field advantage rating is 1.6 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Army Black Knights's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -160 over and +120 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Army Black Knights travels 10,020 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 33rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Army Black Knights: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating -1.7 (2026 records).