Alabama defeated South Carolina 29–22 in a one-score game. South Carolina covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 3.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Williams-Brice Stadium were Clear, 61.2°F, Feels Like 61.2°F with winds of 6.0 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
61.2°F
South Carolina led 22-14 with under 3 minutes left, but a fumble by QB LaNorris Sellers on the ensuing drive gave Alabama the ball at the 38-yard line, leading to the game-winning touchdown. This marks another agonizing defeat for the Gamecocks, who have now lost five of their last six games.
The Gamecocks' offensive line, which had allowed the most sacks in the country (22) entering the game, played better overall but still committed costly holding penalties that negated a touchdown run and ended a potential scoring drive. This inconsistency will be a key concern against a strong Ole Miss defense.
LaNorris Sellers threw for 222 yards and a touchdown and ran for 67 yards and another score, showing his ability to make plays with both his arm and legs. However, his late fumble overshadowed his performance, and he must improve ball security in critical moments.
South Carolina led 14-6 at halftime despite multiple mistakes, including a dropped pass that led to an interception return for a touchdown, a missed field goal, and two holding penalties that wiped out a touchdown and a potential scoring drive. These errors proved costly in a close game.
The Gamecocks showed resilience by scoring 16 unanswered points to take a 22-14 lead, but they could not finish the game. This pattern of strong play followed by late-game breakdowns has been a recurring theme, and they will need to execute for a full 60 minutes to compete with Ole Miss.
Alabama travels 380 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Alabama arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Alabama won by 7 in a one-score game.
South Carolina covered the spread.
The total went Over by 3.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Alabama (26.2) over South Carolina (10.6) by 15.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Alabama won and South Carolina covered the spread.
