Week 9
Williams-Brice Stadium

Alabama29 @FINAL 22South Carolina , Week 9, Oct 25, 2025

6-1 SEC Power rating: 26.2
3-4 SEC Power rating: 10.6

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ALA -11.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ALA -13.2
Edge
-1.7ALA
See details
◂ favors ALAfavors SC ▸Market: ALA -11.5
‹ 15.6 ALA
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1 ALA1 SC2 ALA2 SCModel: ALA -13.2

Betting information

Spread
ALA -11.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
ALA 29.5 – 18.0 SC

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Alabama defeated South Carolina 29–22 in a one-score game. South Carolina covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 3.5. The market closed at Alabama -11.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Alabama -13.2, an edge of 1.7 points toward Alabama.

What are the key factors for Alabama vs South Carolina?

South Carolina

Late-game collapse and costly turnover

South Carolina led 22-14 with under 3 minutes left, but a fumble by QB LaNorris Sellers on the ensuing drive gave Alabama the ball at the 38-yard line, leading to the game-winning touchdown. This marks another agonizing defeat for the Gamecocks, who have now lost five of their last six games.

Offensive line improvement but penalties persist

The Gamecocks' offensive line, which had allowed the most sacks in the country (22) entering the game, played better overall but still committed costly holding penalties that negated a touchdown run and ended a potential scoring drive. This inconsistency will be a key concern against a strong Ole Miss defense.

Sellers' dual-threat capability

LaNorris Sellers threw for 222 yards and a touchdown and ran for 67 yards and another score, showing his ability to make plays with both his arm and legs. However, his late fumble overshadowed his performance, and he must improve ball security in critical moments.

Missed opportunities in first half

South Carolina led 14-6 at halftime despite multiple mistakes, including a dropped pass that led to an interception return for a touchdown, a missed field goal, and two holding penalties that wiped out a touchdown and a potential scoring drive. These errors proved costly in a close game.

Resilience but inability to close

The Gamecocks showed resilience by scoring 16 unanswered points to take a 22-14 lead, but they could not finish the game. This pattern of strong play followed by late-game breakdowns has been a recurring theme, and they will need to execute for a full 60 minutes to compete with Ole Miss.

What were the weather conditions for Alabama vs South Carolina?

At kickoff, conditions at Williams-Brice Stadium were Clear, 61°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Alabama travels 380 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Alabama arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Alabama won by 7 in a one-score game.

South Carolina covered the spread.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

How do Alabama and South Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Alabama (26.2) over South Carolina (10.6) by 15.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Alabama won and South Carolina covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Clear

61°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity44%
Wind6 mph ESE
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Alabama at South Carolina: aerial view of Williams-Brice Stadium, wind from the ESE at 6 mph, gusting to 12.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Williams-Brice Stadium
Capacity
77,559
Elevation
243 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure AlabamaAway South CarolinaHome
This week380 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total2,367 miles3,110 miles
Body clock14:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days