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Week 9 •
Joe Aillet Stadium

Western Kentucky28 @FINAL 27Louisiana Tech

5-2 CUSA Power rating: -12.7
4-2 CUSA Power rating: -0.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
LT -5.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
LT -15.3
Edge
+9.8LT
See details
◂ favors WKUfavors LT ▸Market: LT -5.5
11.8 › LT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
LT
LT
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 WKU5 LT10 WKU10 LTModel: LT -15.3

Betting information

Spread
LT -5.5
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
WKU 22.0 – 27.5 LT

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Western Kentucky defeated Louisiana Tech 28–27 in a nail-biter. Western Kentucky covered by 6.5; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at Louisiana Tech -5.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Louisiana Tech -15.3 - a gap of 9.8 points toward Louisiana Tech, of which 8.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Louisiana Tech 11.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Joe Aillet Stadium were Clear, 66°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Western Kentucky travels 467 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Western Kentucky won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Western Kentucky covered the spread.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do Western Kentucky and Louisiana Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Louisiana Tech (-0.9) over Western Kentucky (-12.7) by 11.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisiana Tech brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Western Kentucky and Louisiana Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Western Kentucky won and Western Kentucky covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 21, 2025 Game-time

Clear

66°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity50%
Wind6 mph NNE
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech: aerial view of Joe Aillet Stadium, wind from the NNE at 5.6 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
Capacity
23,000
Elevation
269 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Western KentuckyAway Louisiana TechHome
This week467 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total3,154 miles2,925 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest6 days12 days

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