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Week 9 •
Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium

North Dakota State38 @FINAL 7South Dakota State

7-0 MVFC Power rating: 1.0
0-0 MVFC Power rating: 1.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ND St -9.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SD St -2.5
Edge
+11.5SD St
See details
◂ favors ND Stfavors SD St ▸Market: ND St -9.0
no impact
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SD St
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 ND St5 SD St10 ND St10 SD StModel: SD St -2.5

Betting information

Spread
ND St -9.0
Total
45.5
Odds implied score
ND St 27.3 – 18.3 SD St

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

North Dakota State defeated South Dakota State 38–7 in a dominant performance. North Dakota State covered by 22.0; Game went Under by 0.5. The market closed at North Dakota State -9.0 and the Blue Chip model made it South Dakota State -2.5 - a gap of 11.5 points toward South Dakota State, of which 10.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What happened in the game?

North Dakota State travels 178 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

North Dakota State won by 31 in a dominant performance.

North Dakota State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

How do North Dakota State and South Dakota State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate North Dakota State (1.0) and South Dakota State (1.0) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, home field, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. South Dakota State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Dakota State and South Dakota State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

North Dakota State won and North Dakota State covered the spread.

Conditions

No weather data is available for this game yet.

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium
Capacity
19,340
Elevation
1,621 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

North Dakota StateAway South Dakota StateHome
This week178 miles0 miles
Last week1,398 milesBye week
Season total7,196 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest8 days8 days

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