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Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Bowling Green @ Kent State
3-4
MAC
Power Rank: -7.2
21 FINAL 24
2-5
MAC
Power Rank: -23.3
Kent State covered by 11.5 | Game went Under by 3.5

By · Last updated

Kent State defeated Bowling Green 24–21 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Bowling Green 16.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

Bowling Green @ Kent State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Dix Stadium
Capacity: 25,319
Elevation: 1063 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Bowling Green -8.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Expected Score BGSU 28.5 - 20.0 KENT
Power Rank Implied Line Bowling Green +16.1

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

25.2°F

Wind Chill: 13.7°F
Wind: 13.4 mph SW
Gusts: 17.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 100%

Travel & Rest

Bowling Green (Away)

This Week: 121.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2415.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Kent State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 249.5 miles
Season Total: 6961.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Bowling Green -8.5
Total Points 48.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Bowling Green -7.2
Kent State -23.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 121 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Dix Stadium
Capacity 25,319
Elevation 1063 ft
Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 25.2°F
Wind Speed 13.4 mph
Your Line Kent State -16.1
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Bowling Green vs Kent State?

Bowling Green: Key Factors

Kent State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Bowling Green travels 121 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Kent State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Kent State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 3.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Dix Stadium?

At 25.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Bowling Green and Kent State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Bowling Green (-7.2) over Kent State (-23.3) by 16.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kent State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kent State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Bowling Green and Kent State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Kent State won and Kent State covered the spread.