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Week 9 •
Dix Stadium

Bowling Green21 @FINAL 24Kent State

3-4 MAC Power rating: -7.2
2-5 MAC Power rating: -23.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BGSU -7.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BGSU -13.7
Edge
-6.2BGSU
See details
◂ favors BGSUfavors KENT ▸Market: BGSU -7.5
‹ 16.1 BGSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
KENT
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 BGSU2 KENT4 BGSU4 KENT6 BGSU6 KENTModel: BGSU -13.7

Betting information

Spread
BGSU -7.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
BGSU 27.5 – 20.0 KENT

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kent State defeated Bowling Green 24–21 in a nail-biter. Kent State covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at Bowling Green -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Bowling Green -13.7 - a gap of 6.2 points toward Bowling Green, of which 5.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Bowling Green 16.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Bowling Green vs Kent State?

At kickoff, conditions at Dix Stadium were Partly cloudy, 52°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Bowling Green travels 121 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Kent State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Kent State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do Bowling Green and Kent State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Bowling Green (-7.2) over Kent State (-23.3) by 16.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kent State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kent State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Bowling Green and Kent State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Kent State won and Kent State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

52°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind3 mph SW
Gusts3 mph
Wind map for Bowling Green at Kent State: aerial view of Dix Stadium, wind from the SW at 2.5 mph, gusting to 2.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Dix Stadium
Capacity
25,319
Elevation
1,063 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Bowling GreenAway Kent StateHome
This week121 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game250 miles
Season total1,265 miles6,180 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days

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