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Week 9 •
Hornet Stadium

Montana49 @FINAL 35Sacramento State

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: 1.0
4-3 Big Sky Power rating: -18.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
Mon -6.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
Mon -16.1
Edge
-10.2Mon
See details
◂ favors Monfavors SAC ▸Market: Mon -6.0
‹ 19.0 Mon
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SAC
no impact
SAC
no impact
no impact
5 Mon5 SAC10 Mon10 SACModel: Mon -16.1

Betting information

Spread
Mon -6.0
Total
61.5
Odds implied score
Mon 33.8 – 27.8 SAC

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Montana defeated Sacramento State 49–35 in a double-digit victory. Montana covered by 8.0; Game went Over by 22.5. The market closed at Montana -6.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Montana -16.1 - a gap of 10.2 points toward Montana, of which 9.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Montana vs Sacramento State?

At kickoff, conditions at Hornet Stadium were Mist, 54°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Montana travels 687 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Montana arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Montana won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Montana covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 22.5 points.

How do Montana and Sacramento State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Montana (1.0) over Sacramento State (-18.0) by 19.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sacramento State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sacramento State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Montana and Sacramento State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Montana won and Montana covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Mist

54°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity95%
Wind9 mph SSW
Gusts13 mph
Wind map for Montana at Sacramento State: aerial view of Hornet Stadium, wind from the SSW at 8.5 mph, gusting to 13.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PDT
Venue
Hornet Stadium
Capacity
21,195
Elevation
49 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

MontanaAway Sacramento StateHome
This week687 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total687 miles3,960 miles
Body clock20:3019:30
Rest7 days6 days

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