Week 9
Delaware Stadium

Middle Tennessee28 @FINAL 31Delaware , Week 9, Oct 22, 2025

1-5 CUSA Power rating: -18.2
3-3 CUSA Power rating: -11.5

How did the line hold up?

Market line
DEL -8.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
DEL -8.2
Edge
-0.3MTSU
See details
◂ favors MTSUfavors DEL ▸Market: DEL -8.5
6.7 › DEL
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1 MTSU1 DEL2 MTSU2 DELModel: DEL -8.2

Betting information

Spread
DEL -8.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
MTSU 23.5 – 32.0 DEL

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Delaware defeated Middle Tennessee 31–28 in a nail-biter. Middle Tennessee covered by 5.5; Game went Over by 3.5. The market closed at Delaware -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Delaware -8.2. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Middle Tennessee vs Delaware?

Middle Tennessee

Late Rally Falls Short

Middle Tennessee scored a touchdown with 1:03 remaining to pull within three points, but failed to recover the onside kick, losing 31-28. This shows the team's ability to mount a comeback but also highlights their inability to finish games.

Strong Second-Half Defense Continues

Over the last three games, MTSU has allowed just 16 second-half points, indicating a resilient defense that adjusts well after halftime. This trend could be crucial in close games moving forward.

Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato's Performance

Vattiato threw for 281 yards and three touchdowns with one interception, showing he can move the ball effectively through the air. However, the interception and the team's overall 1-6 record suggest inconsistency.

Rushing Attack Led by Jekail Middlebrook

Middlebrook rushed for 68 yards and a touchdown, providing a balanced offensive threat. Establishing the run will be key to controlling the clock and keeping the defense fresh in future games.

Struggles in Conference Play

At 0-3 in Conference USA, Middle Tennessee is winless in league games. The team needs to address early-game execution and closing out tight contests to turn their season around.

What were the weather conditions for Middle Tennessee vs Delaware?

At kickoff, conditions at Delaware Stadium were Partly cloudy, 53°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Middle Tennessee travels 638 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Middle Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Delaware won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Middle Tennessee covered the spread.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

How do Middle Tennessee and Delaware compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Delaware (-11.5) over Middle Tennessee (-18.2) by 6.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Delaware brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Delaware won and Middle Tennessee covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 22, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

53°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind10 mph W
Gusts16 mph
Wind map for Middle Tennessee at Delaware: aerial view of Delaware Stadium, wind from the W at 10.3 mph, gusting to 16.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EDT
Venue
Delaware Stadium
Capacity
18,500
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Middle TennesseeAway DelawareHome
This week638 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,372 miles
Season total5,689 miles6,488 miles
Body clock18:3019:30
Rest14 days7 days