Week 9October 22, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
28
1-5
CUSA
Power Rank: -18.2
@
FINAL
31
3-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -11.5

By · Last updated

Delaware defeated Middle Tennessee 31–28 in a nail-biter. Middle Tennessee covered by 5.5; Game went Over by 3.5.

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Delaware Stadium
Capacity: 18,500
Elevation: 105 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Delaware -8.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Odds Implied Score MTSU 23.5 - 32.0 DEL
Power Rank Implied Line Delaware -6.7
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Middle Tennessee
Delaware
Home field: Delaware Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Middle Tennessee vs Delaware?

At kick-off, conditions at Delaware Stadium were Partly cloudy, 53.1°F, Wind Chill 51.4°F with winds of 10.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: October 22, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

53.1°F

Wind Chill: 51.4°F
Wind: 10.3 mph W
Gusts: 16.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 70%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Middle Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 637.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5688.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 14

Delaware (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1371.6 miles
Season Total: 6488.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Middle Tennessee vs Delaware?

Middle Tennessee: Key Factors

Late Rally Falls Short

Middle Tennessee scored a touchdown with 1:03 remaining to pull within three points, but failed to recover the onside kick, losing 31-28. This shows the team's ability to mount a comeback but also highlights their inability to finish games.

Strong Second-Half Defense Continues

Over the last three games, MTSU has allowed just 16 second-half points, indicating a resilient defense that adjusts well after halftime. This trend could be crucial in close games moving forward.

Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato's Performance

Vattiato threw for 281 yards and three touchdowns with one interception, showing he can move the ball effectively through the air. However, the interception and the team's overall 1-6 record suggest inconsistency.

Rushing Attack Led by Jekail Middlebrook

Middlebrook rushed for 68 yards and a touchdown, providing a balanced offensive threat. Establishing the run will be key to controlling the clock and keeping the defense fresh in future games.

Struggles in Conference Play

At 0-3 in Conference USA, Middle Tennessee is winless in league games. The team needs to address early-game execution and closing out tight contests to turn their season around.

What happened in the game?

Middle Tennessee travels 638 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Middle Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Delaware won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Middle Tennessee covered the spread.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

How do Middle Tennessee and Delaware compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Delaware (-11.5) over Middle Tennessee (-18.2) by 6.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Delaware brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Delaware won and Middle Tennessee covered the spread.