Week 8
Michigan Stadium

Washington7 @FINAL 24Michigan , Week 8, Oct 18, 2025

5-1 Big Ten Power rating: 16.0
4-2 Big Ten Power rating: 17.6

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MICH -4.0
PM Implied
MICH -3.6
Blue Chip model
MICH -3.6
Edge
-0.4WASH
See details
◂ favors WASHfavors MICH ▸Market: MICH -4.0
MICH
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MICH
no impact
MICH
no impact
WASH
1 WASH1 MICH2 WASH2 MICHModel: MICH -3.6

Betting information

Spread
MICH -4.0
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
WASH 23.3 – 27.3 MICH
Prediction markets
MICH 64% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Michigan defeated Washington 24–7 to secure a comfortable win. Michigan covered by 13.0; Game went Under by 19.5. The market closed at Michigan -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Michigan -3.6. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Washington vs Michigan?

Washington

Turnover Troubles

QB Demond Williams Jr. threw three interceptions in a span of five pass attempts, after having only one pick in his first 185 passes this season. This directly led to 14 Michigan points and shifted momentum decisively.

Rushing Attack Stalled

Washington's offense was held to just 40 rushing yards (including sack yardage), with leading rusher Jonah Coleman managing only 50 yards on 16 carries. The inability to establish the run made the offense one-dimensional.

Defensive Resilience Early, Then Collapse

The Huskies defense kept the game tied 7-7 late into the third quarter, but after the interceptions, they could not stop Michigan's ground game (Jordan Marshall 133 yards) and allowed two quick touchdowns.

Injury Concern at Tight End

Starting TE Quentin Moore was carted off the field (responsive, moved extremities, taken to hospital for precaution). His status for next week is uncertain, which could impact the passing game.

Next Opponent: Illinois

Washington hosts Illinois next Saturday. Illinois is a solid Big Ten opponent, and the Huskies will need to clean up turnovers and re-establish the run to avoid a second straight loss.

Michigan

Defense bounces back with turnovers

After allowing 31 points to USC, Michigan's defense forced three interceptions in a critical stretch, leading to 14 points and a 24-7 win over Washington.

Running game steps up without Haynes

Jordan Marshall rushed for a career-high 133 yards and a go-ahead touchdown, filling in for injured Justice Haynes and providing a reliable ground attack.

Underwood's efficient passing

Bryce Underwood completed 21 of 27 passes for 230 yards and two touchdowns, matching his season high, with coach Moore calling it his cleanest game.

Slow starts remain a concern

Michigan's offense has struggled to start games, a trend that could be problematic against rival Michigan State, especially with key injuries on the offensive line and at tight end.

Injury concerns for next week

Left tackle Evan Link was carted off with a lower-body injury, and the team was already without top tight ends Marlin Klein and Hogan Hansen, potentially impacting protection and passing game.

What were the weather conditions for Washington vs Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Michigan Stadium were Partly cloudy, 78°F with winds of 15 mph. Wind of 15 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 21 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington travels 1,906 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

Michigan won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Michigan covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 19.5 points.

How do Washington and Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Michigan (17.6) over Washington (16.0) by 1.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Michigan won and Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

78°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind15 mph SW
Gusts21 mph
Wind map for Washington at Michigan: aerial view of Michigan Stadium, wind from the SW at 15.2 mph, gusting to 21.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Michigan Stadium
Capacity
107,601
Elevation
863 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure WashingtonAway MichiganHome
This week1,906 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,901 miles
Season total7,061 miles7,026 miles
Body clock09:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days