DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
UCLA defeated Michigan State 38–13 to secure a comfortable win. UCLA covered by 32.0; Game went Under by 0.5. The market closed at Michigan State -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Michigan State -1.7 - a gap of 5.3 points toward UCLA, of which 4.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Michigan State's offense was ineffective, managing only 13 points. Starting QB Aidan Chiles left the game in the third quarter after a sack and did not return, leaving his status for next week uncertain. Backup Alessio Milivojevic threw a late touchdown but the offense lacked consistency.
The defense allowed 418 total yards and 38 consecutive points after an initial lead. They struggled to stop UCLA's run game and passing attack, and failed to force key stops on fourth downs and a fake punt.
The Spartans committed two fumbles and failed to convert on all four fourth-down attempts, highlighting critical mistakes that prevented them from staying competitive.
This loss drops Michigan State to 3-3 overall and 0-3 in Big Ten play, extending their losing streak. The team has been outplayed in all phases during this stretch, raising concerns about momentum and morale.
Michigan State visits Indiana on Oct. 18. With a struggling offense and potential QB uncertainty, they face a tough road test against a conference opponent. The team must address offensive consistency and defensive lapses to compete.
At kickoff, conditions at Spartan Stadium were Cloudy, 59°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Cloudy
59°F
| Measure | UCLAAway | Michigan StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,906 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,289 miles |
| Season total | 5,812 miles | 5,122 miles |
| Body clock | 09:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
.png)
