Week 7
AlamodomeIndoor

Rice13 @FINAL 61UTSA , Week 7, Oct 11, 2025

3-3 American Power rating: -15.7
2-3 American Power rating: -1.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTSA -8.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UTSA -18.1
Edge
+9.6UTSA
See details
◂ favors RICEfavors UTSA ▸Market: UTSA -8.5
14.3 › UTSA
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5 RICE5 UTSA10 RICE10 UTSAModel: UTSA -18.1

Betting information

Spread
UTSA -8.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
RICE 20.0 – 28.5 UTSA

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UTSA defeated Rice 61–13 in a dominant performance. UTSA covered by 39.5; Game went Over by 25.5. The market closed at UTSA -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UTSA -18.1 - a gap of 9.6 points toward UTSA, of which 8.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Rice vs UTSA?

Rice

Offensive Struggles

Rice's passing game was ineffective, with four quarterbacks combining for only 10-of-19 completions for 79 yards and no touchdowns, indicating a lack of consistency and production through the air.

Defensive Vulnerabilities

The defense allowed 61 points, including three first-half touchdown passes and two long rushing touchdowns (43 and 57 yards), highlighting issues with both pass coverage and run defense.

Bright Spot in Running Game

Daelen Alexander provided a positive note with 129 rushing yards on 12 carries, including a 57-yard touchdown run, suggesting the ground game could be a key focus moving forward.

Turnover Problems

Rice committed turnovers that were returned for touchdowns (a pick-6 and a fumble return), which directly contributed to the lopsided score and must be addressed to stay competitive.

Quarterback Uncertainty

The use of four quarterbacks indicates instability at the position, which will need to be resolved to establish offensive rhythm and leadership for future games.

UTSA

Dominant Offensive Performance

UTSA's offense exploded for 61 points, with QB Owen McCown throwing three first-half TD passes and the rushing attack amassing over 200 yards, including two long TD runs by Will Henderson. This balanced attack suggests the offense is clicking and could be a threat in upcoming games.

Defensive Takeaways and Scoring

The defense contributed significantly with a pick-6 by Kendrick Blackshire and a fumble return for a TD by Shad Banks Jr. This ability to create turnovers and score directly will be crucial for UTSA's success in future matchups.

Strong Start and Blowout Win

UTSA built a 38-10 halftime lead and never looked back, indicating they can execute their game plan effectively from the outset. This dominant win should boost team confidence heading into their next game.

What were the weather conditions for Rice vs UTSA?

This game was played indoors at Alamodome in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Rice travels 186 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UTSA won by 48 in a dominant performance.

UTSA covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 25.5 points.

How do Rice and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTSA (-1.4) over Rice (-15.7) by 14.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTSA brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UTSA won and UTSA covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Alamodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Rice at UTSA: aerial view of Alamodome

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Alamodome
Capacity
64,000
Elevation
738 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure RiceAway UTSAHome
This week186 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,010 miles
Season total4,975 miles5,024 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest7 days7 days