Week 7
Husky Stadium

Rutgers19 @FINAL 38Washington , Week 7, Oct 11, 2025

3-2 Big Ten Power rating: 2.9
4-1 Big Ten Power rating: 17.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WASH -9.5
PM Implied
WASH -7.9
Blue Chip model
WASH -18.5
Edge
+9.0WASH
See details
◂ favors RUTGfavors WASH ▸Market: WASH -9.5
14.9 › WASH
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5 RUTG5 WASH10 RUTG10 WASHModel: WASH -18.5

Betting information

Spread
WASH -9.5
Total
62.5
Odds implied score
RUTG 26.5 – 36.0 WASH
Prediction markets
WASH 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Washington defeated Rutgers 38–19 to secure a comfortable win. Washington covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Washington -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Washington -18.5 - a gap of 9.0 points toward Washington, of which 7.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Rutgers vs Washington?

Rutgers

Second-Half Defensive Collapse

Rutgers led 13-10 at halftime but allowed Washington to score touchdowns on four consecutive drives in the second half, ultimately losing 38-19. Missed assignments and an inability to contain quarterback Demond Williams Jr. (402 passing yards, 136 rushing yards, 4 total TDs) were key issues.

Missed Opportunities in Red Zone

Rutgers failed to convert on two fourth-down attempts inside the Washington 10-yard line, squandering chances to extend leads or keep the game close. These failures proved costly as the game slipped away.

Athan Kaliakmanis' Career Day

Quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis set career highs with 386 passing yards, 31 completions, and 50 attempts, throwing two touchdowns. Wide receiver Ian Strong had 7 catches for 124 yards, showing offensive potential despite the loss.

Run Game Stalled

Washington's defense held Rutgers' rushing attack in check, limiting star running back Jonah Coleman to a season-low 44 yards. This forced the offense to rely heavily on the passing game, which became one-dimensional.

Upcoming Challenge vs. Oregon

Rutgers (3-3, 0-3 Big Ten) hosts No. 2 Oregon next, a formidable opponent. The team must address defensive lapses and red-zone efficiency to compete, especially after allowing 38 points and failing to capitalize on scoring chances.

Washington

Demond Williams Jr. historic performance

Williams threw for 402 yards and 2 TDs and rushed for 136 yards and 2 TDs, becoming the 16th player in FBS history with 400+ passing and 100+ rushing yards in a game. He set a school total offense record with 538 yards.

Second-half offensive explosion

After trailing 13-10 at halftime, Washington scored touchdowns on their first four drives of the second half, turning the game into a 38-19 victory. The team has now overcome double-digit deficits in consecutive games.

Running back Jonah Coleman held in check

Coleman was limited to a season-low 44 rushing yards, as Rutgers focused on stopping him. However, this opened up opportunities for Williams to exploit the defense on zone reads.

Defensive stand in critical moments

Rutgers failed to convert on two fourth-down attempts inside the Washington 10-yard line, and Ephesians Prysock sealed the win with an interception in the end zone late in the fourth quarter.

Upcoming road test at Michigan

Washington travels to face Michigan on October 18. The Huskies will need to start faster to avoid another double-digit comeback, as they have done in their last two games.

What were the weather conditions for Rutgers vs Washington?

At kickoff, conditions at Husky Stadium were Cloudy, 55°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Rutgers travels 2,392 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Washington won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Washington covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Rutgers and Washington compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Washington (17.8) over Rutgers (2.9) by 14.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Washington brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Washington won and Washington covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

55°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity83%
Wind5 mph S
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Rutgers at Washington: aerial view of Husky Stadium, wind from the S at 5.1 mph, gusting to 8.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM PDT
Venue
Husky Stadium
Capacity
70,083
Elevation
69 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure RutgersAway WashingtonHome
This week2,392 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week4,654 miles
Season total4,392 miles5,155 miles
Body clock21:0018:00
Rest14 days7 days