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38
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30
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24
34
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31
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34
34
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41
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35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
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DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Indiana defeated Oregon 30–20 in a double-digit victory. Indiana covered by 17.0; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at Oregon -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Indiana -1.9 - a gap of 8.8 points toward Indiana, of which 7.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Indiana defeated No. 3 Oregon 30-20 at Autzen Stadium, snapping Oregon's 18-game home winning streak and marking Indiana's first win over a top-five team since 1967.
Indiana's defense sacked Oregon's quarterback six times and intercepted two passes, including a crucial fourth-quarter pick by Louis Moore that set up a field goal to seal the win.
Fernando Mendoza threw for 215 yards and a touchdown, bouncing back from a pick-six to lead a go-ahead scoring drive with an 8-yard pass to Elijah Sarratt in the fourth quarter.
Indiana's kicking game was strong, with Brendan Franke hitting a 58-yard field goal as time expired in the first half and a 22-yarder late, while Oregon missed a key field goal.
Indiana hosts Michigan State next Saturday, looking to build on their undefeated record and maintain momentum after a statement win on the road.
Oregon's offensive line allowed six sacks and failed to establish a consistent run game, contributing to quarterback Dante Moore's two interceptions and the team's inability to sustain drives.
Dante Moore threw two interceptions, including a critical pick-six that tied the game in the fourth quarter, and another that set up Indiana's final field goal, directly leading to the loss.
The loss ended Oregon's 18-game winning streak at Autzen Stadium, the longest active streak in the nation, which could affect team morale and home-field advantage perception.
Oregon failed on a fourth-and-1 early, missed a 36-yard field goal that would have given them the lead, and had a 44-yard touchdown pass but couldn't capitalize on other chances, leaving points on the field.
Coach Dan Lanning emphasized that all team goals remain attainable, but the Ducks must quickly address offensive line protection and ball security to avoid a second straight loss at Rutgers next week.
At kickoff, conditions at Autzen Stadium were Heavy rain at times, 51°F with winds of 5 mph. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Heavy rain at times
51°F

| Measure | IndianaAway | OregonHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,906 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 2,537 miles | 8,153 miles |
| Body clock | 15:30 | 12:30 |
| Rest | 14 days | 14 days |