DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Bowling Green defeated Toledo 28–23 in a closely contested finish. Bowling Green covered by 15.5; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at Toledo -10.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Toledo -7.3, an edge of 3.1 points toward Bowling Green. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Toledo 8.2 points stronger on a neutral field.
Bowling Green showed remarkable resilience by rallying from a 21-0 halftime deficit to win 28-23, demonstrating strong mental toughness and ability to adjust in the second half.
Quarterback Lucian Anderson III threw two touchdowns and wide receiver Cameron Pettaway caught both for scores, including a 73-yard trick play touchdown, finishing with 118 receiving yards.
The defense forced a critical fumble near the goal line in the fourth quarter, recovered by Isaiah Thomison after a sack by Myles Bradley, leading to the go-ahead touchdown.
The offense utilized a mix of passing and a trick play (WR pass) to generate explosive plays, overcoming a slow start and establishing momentum in the second half.
After being shut out in the first half, the Falcons scored 28 unanswered points in the second half, indicating effective halftime adjustments and better execution on both sides of the ball.
At kickoff, conditions at Doyt L. Perry Stadium were Cloudy, 65°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Cloudy
65°F

| Measure | ToledoAway | Bowling GreenHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 19 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 752 miles | 1,143 miles |
| Body clock | 12:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 14 days | 14 days |