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Week 7 •
Notre Dame Stadium

NC State7 @FINAL 36Notre Dame

4-2 ACC Power rating: 6.0
3-2 Independent Power rating: 26.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ND -23.5
PM Implied
ND -16.9
Blue Chip model
ND -22.7
Edge
-0.8NCSU
See details
◂ favors NCSUfavors ND ▸Market: ND -23.5
20.5 › ND
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ND
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 NCSU1 ND2 NCSU2 NDModel: ND -22.7

Betting information

Spread
ND -23.5
Total
59.5
Odds implied score
NCSU 18.0 – 41.5 ND
Prediction markets
ND 94% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Notre Dame defeated NC State 36–7 in a dominant performance. Notre Dame covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 16.5. The market closed at Notre Dame -23.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Notre Dame -22.7. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for NC State vs Notre Dame?

At kickoff, conditions at Notre Dame Stadium were Sunny, 57°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

NC State travels 574 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Notre Dame won by 29 in a dominant performance.

Notre Dame covered the spread.

The total went Under by 16.5 points.

How do NC State and Notre Dame compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Notre Dame (26.5) over NC State (6.0) by 20.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Notre Dame brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on NC State and Notre Dame?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Notre Dame won and Notre Dame covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

57°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity78%
Wind7 mph NE
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for NC State at Notre Dame: aerial view of Notre Dame Stadium, wind from the NE at 6.7 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Notre Dame Stadium
Capacity
77,622
Elevation
755 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

NC StateAway Notre DameHome
This week574 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total789 miles3,431 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

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