Week 10
FargodomeIndoor

Youngstown State30 @FINAL 38North Dakota State , Week 10, Nov 1, 2025

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -17.4
8-0 MVFC Power rating: 1.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ND St -26.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ND St -21.3
Edge
-5.3YSU
See details
◂ favors YSUfavors ND St ▸Market: ND St -26.5
18.4 › ND St
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ND St
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2 YSU2 ND St4 YSU4 ND St6 YSU6 ND StModel: ND St -21.3

Betting information

Spread
ND St -26.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
YSU 17.0 – 43.5 ND St

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

North Dakota State defeated Youngstown State 38–30 in a one-score game. Youngstown State covered by 18.5; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at North Dakota State -26.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Dakota State -21.3 - a gap of 5.3 points toward Youngstown State, of which 4.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Youngstown State vs North Dakota State?

This game was played indoors at Fargodome in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Youngstown State travels 897 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Youngstown State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

North Dakota State won by 8 in a one-score game.

Youngstown State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Youngstown State and North Dakota State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Dakota State (1.0) over Youngstown State (-17.4) by 18.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Dakota State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

North Dakota State won and Youngstown State covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Fargodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Youngstown State at North Dakota State: aerial view of Fargodome

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Fargodome
Capacity
18,700
Elevation
902 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Youngstown StateAway North Dakota StateHome
This week897 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week357 miles
Season total1,351 miles7,374 miles
Body clock15:3014:30
Rest7 days6 days