Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl
Yankee StadiumNeutral site

Penn State22 @FINAL 10Clemson , Postseason, Dec 27, 2025

6-6 Big Ten Power rating: 17.2
7-5 ACC Power rating: 12.2

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CLEM -2.5
PM Implied
CLEM -1.7
Blue Chip model
PSU -4.5
Edge
-7.0PSU
See details
◂ favors PSUfavors CLEM ▸Market: CLEM -2.5
PSU
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neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
CLEM
5 PSU5 CLEMModel: PSU -4.5

Betting information

Spread
CLEM -2.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
PSU 22.5 – 25.0 CLEM
Prediction markets
CLEM 57% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Penn State defeated Clemson 22–10 in a double-digit victory. Penn State covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 15.5. The market closed at Clemson -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Penn State -4.5 - a gap of 7.0 points toward Penn State, of which 6.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Penn State vs Clemson?

At kickoff, conditions at Yankee Stadium were Clear, 32°F, wind chill 26°F with winds of 6 mph. At 32°F this is a freezing game. Cold is a scoring-environment factor rather than a side factor: Blue Chip has not measured a reliable spread effect from temperature. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Penn State travels 206 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Penn State won by 12 in a double-digit victory.

Penn State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

How do Penn State and Clemson compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Penn State (17.2) over Clemson (12.2) by 5.0 points on a neutral field. Clemson faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Penn State won and Penn State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 27, 2025 Game-time

Clear

32°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity83%
Wind6 mph NNE
Gusts8 mph
Wind chill26°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Penn State at Clemson: aerial view of Yankee Stadium, wind from the NNE at 5.6 mph, gusting to 8.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Capacity
54,251
Elevation
23 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Penn StateAway ClemsonHome
This week206 miles646 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total7,768 miles3,785 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest28 days28 days