Week 4
Razorback Stadium

Tulsa @ Arkansas , Week 4, Sep 27, 2026

0-0 American Power rating: -11.8
0-0 SEC Power rating: 5.2

Is there value in the Tulsa vs Arkansas line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ARK -18.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TLSAfavors ARK ▸
17.0 › ARK
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1 TLSA1 ARK2 TLSA2 ARKModel: ARK -18.3

Arkansas (power rating: 5.2) holds a 17.0-point advantage over Tulsa (-11.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Arkansas's home field adds 0.8 points to that advantage at Razorback Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Tulsa vs Arkansas at Razorback Stadium?

The latest reading for Razorback Stadium shows Clear, 89°F, heat index 91°F with winds of 10 mph. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Tulsa and Arkansas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Arkansas (5.2) over Tulsa (-11.8) by 17.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arkansas brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Arkansas -18.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

89°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity42%
Wind10 mph S
Gusts27 mph
Heat index91°F
Wind map for Tulsa at Arkansas: aerial view of Razorback Stadium, wind from the S at 10.1 mph, gusting to 27.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Razorback Stadium
Capacity
76,212
Elevation
1,358 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure TulsaAway ArkansasHome
This week99 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total850 miles2,020 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest7 days8 days

Tulsa travels 99 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.