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Week 5 •
Chapman Stadium

North Texas @ Tulsa

0-0 American Power rating: -0.3
0-0 American Power rating: -11.8

By · Last updated

Is there value in the North Texas vs Tulsa line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNT -9.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UNTfavors TLSA ▸
‹ 11.5 UNT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TLSA
no impact
no impact
no impact
TLSA
1 UNT1 TLSA2 UNT2 TLSAModel: UNT -9.2

North Texas (power rating: -0.3) carries a 11.5-point advantage over Tulsa (-11.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Tulsa's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8) narrows that gap at Chapman Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect North Texas vs Tulsa at Chapman Stadium?

The latest reading for Chapman Stadium shows Clear, 95°F with winds of 10 mph. Gusts reaching 26 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do North Texas and Tulsa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (-0.3) over Tulsa (-11.8) by 11.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Tulsa faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Tulsa brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Texas and Tulsa?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this North Texas -9.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

95°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity30%
Wind10 mph S
Gusts26 mph
Wind map for North Texas at Tulsa: aerial view of Chapman Stadium, wind from the S at 9.8 mph, gusting to 25.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM CDT
Venue
Chapman Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
804 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

North TexasAway TulsaHome
This week214 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game198 miles
Season total2,125 miles948 miles
Body clock20:0020:00
Rest6 days5 days

North Texas travels 214 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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