Week 7 •
Rice Stadium

Tulsa @ Rice , Week 7, Oct 17, 2026

3-2 American Power rating: -6.9
1-4 American Power rating: -12.4

Is there value in the Tulsa vs Rice line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
TLSA -6.7
Blue Chip model
TLSA -2.6
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TLSAfavors RICE ▸
‹ 5.5 TLSA
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RICE
no impact
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RICE
1 TLSA1 RICE2 TLSA2 RICE3 TLSA3 RICEModel: TLSA -2.6

Betting information

Prediction markets
TLSA 74% win chance (Kalshi)

Tulsa (power rating: -6.9) carries a 5.5-point advantage over Rice (-12.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Rice's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7) narrows that gap at Rice Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Tulsa vs Rice at Rice Stadium?

The latest reading for Rice Stadium shows Clear, 81°F, heat index 87°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Tulsa vs Rice?

Prediction markets on Kalshi price Tulsa as 74% favorites to beat Rice (26%). That implies a market-derived spread of Tulsa -6.7. The Blue Chip model makes it Tulsa -2.6, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.

How do Tulsa and Rice compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Tulsa (-6.9) over Rice (-12.4) by 5.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Rice faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Rice brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Tulsa -2.6. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

81°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity82%
Wind9 mph SSE
Gusts18 mph
Heat index87°F
Wind map for Tulsa at Rice: aerial view of Rice Stadium, wind from the SSE at 8.5 mph, gusting to 18.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM CDT
Venue
Rice Stadium
Capacity
47,000
Elevation
66 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure TulsaAway RiceHome
This week444 miles0 miles
Last week2,165 miles2,250 miles
Season total3,558 miles7,170 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

Tulsa travels 444 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.