Tulsa (power rating: -6.9) carries a 5.5-point advantage over Rice (-12.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Rice's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7) narrows that gap at Rice Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Rice Stadium shows Clear, 81°F, heat index 87°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Tulsa as 74% favorites to beat Rice (26%). That implies a market-derived spread of Tulsa -6.7. The Blue Chip model makes it Tulsa -2.6, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
81°F

| Measure | TulsaAway | RiceHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 444 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 2,165 miles | 2,250 miles |
| Season total | 3,558 miles | 7,170 miles |
| Body clock | 15:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Tulsa travels 444 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.