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Week 7 •
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Washington State21 @FINAL 24Ole Miss

3-2 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.1
5-0 SEC Power rating: 21.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MISS -33.5
PM Implied
MISS -19.3
Blue Chip model
MISS -26.5
Edge
-7.0WSU
See details
◂ favors WSUfavors MISS ▸Market: MISS -33.5
23.1 › MISS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MISS
no impact
MISS
no impact
MISS
5 WSU5 MISSModel: MISS -26.5

Betting information

Spread
MISS -33.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
WSU 12.5 – 46.0 MISS
Prediction markets
MISS 97% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ole Miss defeated Washington State 24–21 in a nail-biter. Washington State covered by 30.5; Game went Under by 13.5. The market closed at Ole Miss -33.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ole Miss -26.5 - a gap of 7.0 points toward Washington State, of which 5.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Washington State vs Ole Miss?

At kickoff, conditions at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium were Sunny, 79°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington State travels 1,673 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

Ole Miss won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Washington State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

How do Washington State and Ole Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ole Miss (21.0) over Washington State (-2.1) by 23.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ole Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Washington State and Ole Miss?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Ole Miss won and Washington State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity47%
Wind4 mph NNE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Washington State at Ole Miss: aerial view of Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, wind from the NNE at 3.8 mph, gusting to 4.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
11:45 AM CDT
Venue
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Capacity
64,038
Elevation
472 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Washington StateAway Ole MissHome
This week1,673 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total5,962 miles755 miles
Body clock09:4511:45
Rest14 days14 days

Other games this week