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Week 7 •
Center Parc Stadium

App State41 @FINAL 20Georgia State

3-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.5
1-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -15.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
APP -3.0
PM Implied
APP -1.9
Blue Chip model
APP -3.3
Edge
-0.3APP
See details
◂ favors APPfavors GAST ▸Market: APP -3.0
‹ 4.6 APP
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
GAST
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 APP1 GAST2 APP2 GASTModel: APP -3.3

Betting information

Spread
APP -3.0
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
APP 29.3 – 26.3 GAST
Prediction markets
APP 58% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

App State defeated Georgia State 41–20 to secure a comfortable win. App State covered by 18.0; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at App State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it App State -3.3. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for App State vs Georgia State?

At kickoff, conditions at Center Parc Stadium were Partly cloudy, 73°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

App State travels 229 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

App State won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

App State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do App State and Georgia State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor App State (-10.5) over Georgia State (-15.1) by 4.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on App State and Georgia State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

App State won and App State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity51%
Wind4 mph NE
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for App State at Georgia State: aerial view of Center Parc Stadium, wind from the NE at 4.3 mph, gusting to 7.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Center Parc Stadium
Capacity
24,333
Elevation
978 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

App StateAway Georgia StateHome
This week229 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total5,278 miles1,027 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

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