Georgia State Panthers is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -16.9. Georgia State Panthers enters the season with a power rating of -16.9, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Georgia State Panthers head to Kennesaw State next in Week 2. In 2025, Georgia State Panthers went 1-11 overall, 2-10 against the spread, and 6-6 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Georgia State Panthers Power Rating of -16.9 is 16.9 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Georgia State Panthers have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,655 miles, ranking 126th heaviest in the FBS.
Cameran Brown QB, Ayden Pereira QB, DJ Riles WR, Grant Hollier TE, Keith Adams Jr. RB, Deandre Duffus OL, Tyhler Williams OL, Connor Jones OL
Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson DE, Deuce Walker S, Jaydon Hood LB, Deuce Lee S, Tre Mittman S
Christian Teeter P, Balint Vorosmarty K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 5-3 |
| Week 11 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 6-3 |
| Week 12 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 6-4 |
| Week 13 | 1-10 | 1-10 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 1-11 | 2-10 | 6-6 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -18.6 in the preseason and finished -16.9 after week 2, a move of +1.8 points. High -16.9 (week 2), low -19.6 (week 1).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -1.7 is regressed to +1.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.9 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw State | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Old Dominion | 4 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| James Madison | 4 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Arkansas State | 6 | 2-4 | 1-5 |
| Coastal Carolina | 9 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| App State | 10 | 0-10 | 3-7 |
| Georgia Southern | 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Marshall | 4 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Louisiana | 4 | 1-3 | 3-0-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: North Carolina A&T, UCF, Northern Illinois.
Week 03,655 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | North Carolina A&T | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Kennesaw State | 23 mi | 45 mi |
| Week 3 | UCF | 401 mi | 847 mi |
| Week 4 | Northern Illinois | Home | 847 mi |
| Week 5 | Old Dominion | Home | 847 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | James Madison | 447 mi | 1,742 mi |
| Week 8 | Arkansas State | 385 mi | 2,513 mi |
| Week 9 | Coastal Carolina | Home | 2,513 mi |
| Week 10 | App State | 229 mi | 2,972 mi |
| Week 11 | Georgia Southern | Home | 2,972 mi |
| Week 12 | Marshall | 342 mi | 3,655 mi |
| Week 13 | Louisiana | Home | 3,655 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Georgia State enters 2026 with a dramatically reshaped roster, having added 37 transfers and 24 freshmen after a 1-11 season. Quarterback Cameran Brown, who threw for 1,296 yards and rushed for 271 last year, is the clear starter after a three-man competition in 2025. He showed his dual-threat capability in the opener, completing 15 of 20 passes for 190 yards and two touchdowns while also contributing on the ground. The offense generated 563 total yards against North Carolina A&T, with six different players scoring rushing touchdowns, suggesting the new pieces are meshing well early.
After allowing 448.8 yards per game and forcing only six turnovers all of last season, the Panthers brought in co-coordinators Cam Clark and John Haneline to overhaul the defense. The unit looked sharp in Week 1, holding FCS North Carolina A&T to 209 yards and forcing a blocked punt by safety Tre Mittman that set up a field goal. Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson, who led returning players with 41 tackles last year, anchors the pass rush, while transfers Jaydon Hood (Michigan) and Deuce Lee (Monmouth) add experience. The early performance is encouraging, but the real test comes against Sun Belt offenses that will challenge the new scheme far more than an FCS opponent did.
With the top two rushers from 2025 gone, Clemson transfer Keith Adams Jr. was expected to lead the backfield, but in the opener it was Lanear McCrary Jr. who paced the team with 75 yards on nine carries, and Savion Hart added a 41-yard touchdown run. The Panthers rushed for 284 yards as a team, but the distribution suggests no single back has seized the job. The offensive line, which allowed a Sun Belt-low 18 sacks last year, returns key starters like Deandre Duffus and Tyhler Williams, giving the ground game a solid foundation. How the carries shake out in closer games will be a storyline to watch.
Georgia State ranked near the bottom of the Sun Belt in field-goal percentage last season, converting just 43.8% of attempts, so the addition of true freshman kicker Balint Vorosmarty, who had 88.5% touchbacks on kickoffs in high school, is a significant upgrade. Punter Christian Teeter also takes over a unit that was eighth in net punting. In the opener, Samer Layous hit a 26-yard field goal, and DJ Riles provided a spark with a 26-yard punt return that set up the first touchdown. Improved consistency in the kicking game could be a hidden factor in tight conference matchups later in the season.
The 59-10 rout of North Carolina A&T was Georgia State's most lopsided win in years and a much-needed reset after a combined 1-15 Sun Belt record over the past two seasons. The schedule is more manageable than in 2025, with no SEC opponents, but the Panthers face a quick turnaround against Atlanta-area rival Kennesaw State, which is already 1-0 and favored by nearly double digits. The offense showed it can score in bunches, but the defense's true measure will come against Sun Belt teams that have exploited it in the past. With a rebuilt roster and new coordinators, the Panthers have reason for optimism, but sustaining this level of play against FBS competition is the real challenge.
Georgia State Panthers is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Georgia State Panthers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -16.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Georgia State Panthers's home field advantage rating is 1.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Georgia State Panthers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at +160 over and -200 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Georgia State Panthers travels 3,655 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 126th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Georgia State Panthers: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating -16.9 (2026 records).