Week 4 • September 21, 2025, 01:30 AM UTC
1-2
American
Power Rank: -0.5
17 FINAL 16
1-1
MW
Power Rank: -9.8
Colorado State covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 26.5
UTSA @ Colorado State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM MDT
Stadium: Canvas Stadium
Capacity: 41,000
Elevation: 5010 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTSA -4.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score UTSA 32.0 - 27.5 CSU
Power Rank Implied Line UTSA +9.3
Prediction Markets UTSA 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

32.2°F

Wind Chill: 27.6°F
Wind: 4.7 mph WNW
Gusts: 9.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 36%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTSA (Away)

This Week: 854.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1159.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:30
Rest Days: 8

Colorado State (Home)

This Week: 0.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1965.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 15

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UTSA -4.5
Total Points 59.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTSA -0.5
Colorado State -9.8
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 855 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Colorado State +7
🏟️ HFA: Canvas Stadium
Capacity 41,000
Elevation 5010 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 32.2°F
Wind Speed 4.7 mph
Your Line Colorado State -9.3
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

UTSA

Defensive Struggles Against Explosive Plays

UTSA's defense allowed Texas A&M to generate big plays through the air and on special teams, including a punt return touchdown and multiple long passing touchdowns. The Aggies' offense consistently found ways to extend drives and score quickly, which kept UTSA from mounting a sustained comeback.

Robert Henry Jr.'s Breakout Performance

Running back Robert Henry Jr. was a bright spot, rushing for 177 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries, including a 75-yard score to open the second half. His explosive running kept UTSA competitive and highlighted the Roadrunners' ability to move the ball on the ground against a Power 5 defense.

Inability to Sustain Momentum After Halftime

After cutting the deficit to 21-17 early in the third quarter, UTSA allowed Texas A&M to score on back-to-back drives, extending the lead to 35-17. The Roadrunners couldn't capitalize on their momentum swing, and the Aggies' quick responses effectively put the game out of reach.

Competitive Effort Against Ranked Opponent

Head coach Jeff Traylor praised his team's effort, noting they played about as well as they could against a top-25 team. Despite the loss, UTSA showed resilience and offensive firepower, which could build confidence as they face a more evenly matched opponent in Texas State next week.

Key Matchup Ahead vs. Texas State

UTSA returns home to face Texas State, a Sun Belt opponent that also presents a challenging matchup. The Roadrunners will need to tighten their defense, particularly against explosive plays, while continuing to lean on Henry's rushing attack to secure a bounce-back victory in their home opener.