Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
1-1
MW
Power Rank: -6.2
36 FINAL 27
0-1
Pac-12
Power Rank: -8.8
Fresno State covered by 11.5 | Game went Over by 14.5

Fresno State defeated Oregon State 36–27 in a one-score game.

Fresno State @ Oregon State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:30 PM PDT
Stadium: Reser Stadium
Capacity: 35,548
Elevation: 233 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oregon State -2.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Expected Score FRES 23.0 - 25.5 ORST
Power Rank Implied Line Fresno State +2.6
Prediction Markets Fresno State 51% Oregon State 51% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

45.4°F

Wind Chill: 45.6°F
Wind: 2.0 mph NW
Gusts: 4.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 89%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Fresno State (Away)

This Week: 565.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3253.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 6

Oregon State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 664.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 6

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Oregon State -2.5
Total Points 48.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Fresno State -6.2
Oregon State -8.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 565 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Reser Stadium
Capacity 35,548
Elevation 233 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 45.4°F
Wind Speed 2.0 mph
Your Line Oregon State -2.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Fresno State vs Oregon State?

Fresno State: Key Factors

Oregon State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Fresno State travels 565 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Fresno State won by 9 in a one-score game.

Fresno State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

How do Fresno State and Oregon State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Fresno State (-6.2) over Oregon State (-8.8) by 2.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oregon State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oregon State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Fresno State won and Fresno State covered the spread.