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Week 2 •
Reser Stadium

Fresno State36 @FINAL 27Oregon State

1-1 MW Power rating: -6.2
0-1 Pac-12 Power rating: -8.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ORST -1.5
PM Implied
Pick’em
Blue Chip model
ORST -1.1
Edge
-0.4FRES
See details
◂ favors FRESfavors ORST ▸Market: ORST -1.5
FRES
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ORST
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 FRES2 ORST4 FRES4 ORSTModel: ORST -1.1

Betting information

Spread
ORST -1.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
FRES 21.5 – 23.0 ORST
Prediction markets
ORST 51% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Fresno State defeated Oregon State 36–27 in a two-score game. Fresno State covered by 10.5; Game went Over by 18.5. The market closed at Oregon State -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Oregon State -1.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Fresno State vs Oregon State?

At kickoff, conditions at Reser Stadium were Sunny, 65°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Fresno State travels 565 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Fresno State won by 9 in a two-score game.

Fresno State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 18.5 points.

How do Fresno State and Oregon State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Fresno State (-6.2) over Oregon State (-8.8) by 2.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oregon State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oregon State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Fresno State and Oregon State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Fresno State won and Fresno State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

65°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity77%
Wind6 mph NW
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Fresno State at Oregon State: aerial view of Reser Stadium, wind from the NW at 6.3 mph, gusting to 9.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
12:30 PM PDT
Venue
Reser Stadium
Capacity
35,548
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Fresno StateAway Oregon StateHome
This week565 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total3,253 miles0 miles
Body clock12:3012:30
Rest6 days6 days

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