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Week 2 •
Canvas Stadium

Northern Colorado17 @FINAL 21Colorado State

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -42.0
0-1 MW Power rating: -9.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CSU -34.5
PM Implied
CSU -19.3
Blue Chip model
CSU -34.8
Edge
+0.3CSU
See details
◂ favors UNCOfavors CSU ▸Market: CSU -34.5
32.8 › CSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UNCO1 CSU2 UNCO2 CSUModel: CSU -34.8

Betting information

Spread
CSU -34.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
UNCO 9.0 – 43.5 CSU
Prediction markets
CSU 97% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Colorado State defeated Northern Colorado 21–17 in a closely contested finish. Northern Colorado covered by 30.5; Game went Under by 14.5. The market closed at Colorado State -34.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Colorado State -34.8. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Northern Colorado vs Colorado State?

At kickoff, conditions at Canvas Stadium were Clear, 58°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Northern Colorado travels 23 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Colorado State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Northern Colorado covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do Northern Colorado and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Colorado State (-9.2) over Northern Colorado (-42.0) by 32.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Northern Colorado and Colorado State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Colorado State won and Northern Colorado covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Clear

58°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity59%
Wind4 mph N
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Northern Colorado at Colorado State: aerial view of Canvas Stadium, wind from the N at 4.3 mph, gusting to 7.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM MDT
Venue
Canvas Stadium
Capacity
41,000
Elevation
5,010 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Northern ColoradoAway Colorado StateHome
This week23 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,966 miles
Season total23 miles1,965 miles
Body clock17:0017:00
Rest7 days6 days

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