North Texas defeated Western Michigan 33–30 in a nail-biter. Western Michigan covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 6.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Waldo Stadium were Overcast, 58.3°F, Feels Like 57.7°F with winds of 9.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
58.3°F
North Texas travels 889 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
North Texas arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
North Texas won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Western Michigan covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 6.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour North Texas (3.6) over Western Michigan (-8.8) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Western Michigan faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Western Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
North Texas won and Western Michigan covered the spread.
