@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 2 •
Waldo Stadium

North Texas33 @FINAL 30Western Michigan

1-0 American Power rating: 3.6
0-1 MAC Power rating: -8.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNT -12.5
PM Implied
UNT -8.4
Blue Chip model
UNT -9.6
Edge
+2.9WMU
See details
◂ favors UNTfavors WMU ▸Market: UNT -12.5
‹ 12.4 UNT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WMU
WMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UNT1 WMU2 UNT2 WMU3 UNT3 WMUModel: UNT -9.6

Betting information

Spread
UNT -12.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
UNT 34.5 – 22.0 WMU
Prediction markets
UNT 80% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

North Texas defeated Western Michigan 33–30 in a nail-biter. Western Michigan covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 6.5. The market closed at North Texas -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -9.6, an edge of 2.9 points toward Western Michigan.

What were the weather conditions for North Texas vs Western Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Waldo Stadium were Overcast, 58°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

North Texas travels 889 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

North Texas arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

North Texas won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Western Michigan covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 6.5 points.

How do North Texas and Western Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (3.6) over Western Michigan (-8.8) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Western Michigan faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Western Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Texas and Western Michigan?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

North Texas won and Western Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

58°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind10 mph WNW
Gusts13 mph
Wind map for North Texas at Western Michigan: aerial view of Waldo Stadium, wind from the WNW at 9.6 mph, gusting to 13.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Waldo Stadium
Capacity
36,361
Elevation
807 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

North TexasAway Western MichiganHome
This week889 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game129 miles
Season total889 miles129 miles
Body clock14:3015:30
Rest6 days8 days

Other games this week