26 Final 23 38 Final 61 13 Final 20 30 Final 24 34 Final 6 31 Final 34 34 Final 41 16 Final 35 19 Final 16 38 Final 35 14 Final 28 28 Final 31 38 Final 45 14 Final 42 24 Final 20 13 Final 6 20 Final 59 49 Final 51 23 Final 52 24 Final 37 38 Final 17 24 Final 25 28 Final 27 20 Final 35 10 Final 21 24 Final 27 56 Final 21 31 Final 39 24 Final 31 20 Final 31 49 Final 39 10 Final 13 23 Final 15 10 Final 28 17 Final 34 49 Final 27 17 Final 28 20 Final 24 21 Final 14 13 Final 28 31 Final 35 0 Final 26 31 Final 10 49 Final 56 20 Final 16 24 Final 57 32 Final 38 3 Final 39 17 Final 20 7 Final 24 27 Final 34 17 Final 34 31 Final 30 42 Final 19 16 Final 21 13 Final 21
Week 2 •
California Memorial Stadium

Texas Southern3 @FINAL 35California

0-0 SWAC Power rating: -29.6
1-0 ACC Power rating: -5.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CAL -44.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
CAL -27.5
Edge
-17.0TXSO
See details
◂ favors TXSOfavors CAL ▸Market: CAL -44.5
24.0 › CAL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CAL
no impact
CAL
no impact
no impact
10 TXSO10 CAL20 TXSO20 CALModel: CAL -27.5

Betting information

Spread
CAL -44.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
TXSO 5.0 – 49.5 CAL

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

California defeated Texas Southern 35–3 in a dominant performance. Texas Southern covered by 12.5; Game went Under by 16.5. The market closed at California -44.5 and the Blue Chip model made it California -27.5 - a gap of 17.0 points toward Texas Southern, of which 15.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Texas Southern vs California?

Texas Southern

Offensive Struggles

The Tigers' offense lacked rhythm, managing only 194 total yards and converting just 3 of 14 third downs, with quarterback KJ Cooper's scrambling being the only bright spot.

Defensive Vulnerability

Texas Southern's defense was gashed by Cal's running game, allowing 131 yards and a touchdown to Kendrick Raphael, and struggled to pressure the quarterback or stop the run up the middle.

Scoring Drought

The Tigers were held scoreless until a fourth-quarter field goal, marking their only points of the game and highlighting a lack of explosive plays or sustained drives.

Next Game Outlook

Facing Lamar University next, Texas Southern must improve offensive consistency and defensive discipline to compete, as their current performance suggests significant adjustments are needed.

What were the weather conditions for Texas Southern vs California?

At kickoff, conditions at California Memorial Stadium were Partly cloudy, 59°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Texas Southern travels 1,638 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

California won by 32 in a dominant performance.

Texas Southern covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 16.5 points.

How do Texas Southern and California compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor California (-5.6) over Texas Southern (-29.6) by 24.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. California brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas Southern and California?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

California won and Texas Southern covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind5 mph WSW
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Texas Southern at California: aerial view of California Memorial Stadium, wind from the WSW at 5.1 mph, gusting to 8.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM PDT
Venue
California Memorial Stadium
Capacity
52,428
Elevation
427 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Texas SouthernAway CaliforniaHome
This week1,638 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week929 miles
Season total1,638 miles929 miles
Body clock17:0015:00
Rest6 days6 days

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