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Week 2 •
SHI Stadium

Miami (OH)17 @FINAL 45Rutgers

0-1 MAC Power rating: -6.3
1-0 Big Ten Power rating: 2.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
RUTG -15.5
PM Implied
RUTG -10.9
Blue Chip model
RUTG -10.6
Edge
-4.9M-OH
See details
◂ favors M-OHfavors RUTG ▸Market: RUTG -15.5
8.5 › RUTG
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
RUTG
no impact
no impact
no impact
RUTG
2 M-OH2 RUTG4 M-OH4 RUTGModel: RUTG -10.6

Betting information

Spread
RUTG -15.5
Total
45.5
Odds implied score
M-OH 15.0 – 30.5 RUTG
Prediction markets
RUTG 85% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Rutgers defeated Miami (OH) 45–17 in a dominant performance. Rutgers covered by 12.5; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Rutgers -15.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Rutgers -10.6 - a gap of 4.9 points toward Miami (OH), of which 3.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Miami (OH) vs Rutgers?

At kickoff, conditions at SHI Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 80°F with winds of 8 mph. A 100% chance of rain with around 0.43 inches expected points to a genuinely wet field. Ball security and the kicking game are the exposures. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Miami (OH) travels 549 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Rutgers won by 28 in a dominant performance.

Rutgers covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Miami (OH) and Rutgers compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Rutgers (2.2) over Miami (OH) (-6.3) by 8.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Rutgers brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Miami (OH) and Rutgers?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Rutgers won and Rutgers covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Thundery outbreaks possible

80°F

Rain100%
Precip0.43"
Humidity82%
Wind8 mph NW
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for Miami (OH) at Rutgers: aerial view of SHI Stadium, wind from the NW at 7.8 mph, gusting to 11.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
SHI Stadium
Capacity
52,454
Elevation
69 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Miami (OH)Away RutgersHome
This week549 miles0 miles
Last week691 milesHome game
Season total1,239 miles0 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest8 days9 days

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