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Week 2 •
Beaver Stadium

Florida International0 @FINAL 34Penn State

1-0 CUSA Power rating: -16.2
1-0 Big Ten Power rating: 12.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
PSU -41.5
PM Implied
PSU -29.9
Blue Chip model
PSU -31.0
Edge
-10.5FIU
See details
◂ favors FIUfavors PSU ▸Market: PSU -41.5
28.7 › PSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
PSU
no impact
PSU
no impact
no impact
5 FIU5 PSU10 FIU10 PSUModel: PSU -31.0

Betting information

Spread
PSU -41.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
FIU 6.0 – 47.5 PSU
Prediction markets
PSU 99% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Penn State defeated Florida International 34–0 in a dominant performance. Florida International covered by 7.5; Game went Under by 19.5. The market closed at Penn State -41.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Penn State -31.0 - a gap of 10.5 points toward Florida International, of which 9.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Florida International vs Penn State?

At kickoff, conditions at Beaver Stadium were Overcast, 64°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida International travels 1,048 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Penn State won by 34 in a dominant performance.

Florida International covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 19.5 points.

How do Florida International and Penn State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Penn State (12.5) over Florida International (-16.2) by 28.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Penn State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida International and Penn State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Penn State won and Florida International covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

64°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity79%
Wind2 mph WSW
Gusts3 mph
Wind map for Florida International at Penn State: aerial view of Beaver Stadium, wind from the WSW at 2.2 mph, gusting to 2.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Beaver Stadium
Capacity
106,572
Elevation
1,178 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Florida InternationalAway Penn StateHome
This week1,048 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,048 miles0 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest8 days7 days

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