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Week 2 •
M. M. Roberts Stadium

Jackson State20 @FINAL 38Southern Miss

0-0 SWAC Power rating: -33.2
0-1 Sun Belt Power rating: -6.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USM -13.5
PM Implied
USM -10.4
Blue Chip model
USM -29.2
Edge
+15.7USM
See details
◂ favors JKSTfavors USM ▸Market: USM -13.5
26.5 › USM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USM
no impact
no impact
no impact
USM
5 JKST5 USM10 JKST10 USM15 JKST15 USMModel: USM -29.2

Betting information

Spread
USM -13.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
JKST 19.5 – 33.0 USM
Prediction markets
USM 84% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Southern Miss defeated Jackson State 38–20 to secure a comfortable win. Southern Miss covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at Southern Miss -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Southern Miss -29.2 - a gap of 15.7 points toward Southern Miss, of which 14.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Jackson State vs Southern Miss?

At kickoff, conditions at M. M. Roberts Stadium were Clear, 85°F, heat index 90°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Jackson State travels 85 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Southern Miss won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Southern Miss covered the spread.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do Jackson State and Southern Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Southern Miss (-6.7) over Jackson State (-33.2) by 26.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Southern Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Jackson State and Southern Miss?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Southern Miss won and Southern Miss covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Clear

85°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind5 mph N
Gusts10 mph
Heat index90°F
Wind map for Jackson State at Southern Miss: aerial view of M. M. Roberts Stadium, wind from the N at 4.7 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM CDT
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Capacity
36,000
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Jackson StateAway Southern MissHome
This week85 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total85 miles0 miles
Body clock16:0016:00
Rest7 days7 days

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