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Week 2 •
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

Troy16 @FINAL 27Clemson

1-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -6.3
0-1 ACC Power rating: 8.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CLEM -29.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
CLEM -17.2
Edge
-12.3TROY
See details
◂ favors TROYfavors CLEM ▸Market: CLEM -29.5
14.7 › CLEM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CLEM
no impact
no impact
no impact
CLEM
5 TROY5 CLEM10 TROY10 CLEMModel: CLEM -17.2

Betting information

Spread
CLEM -29.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
TROY 11.0 – 40.5 CLEM

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Clemson defeated Troy 27–16 in a double-digit victory. Troy covered by 18.5; Game went Under by 8.5. The market closed at Clemson -29.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Clemson -17.2 - a gap of 12.3 points toward Troy, of which 11.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Troy vs Clemson?

Troy

Strong start but second-half collapse

Troy led 16-0 in the second quarter and 16-3 at halftime, but were outscored 24-0 in the second half, ultimately losing 27-16. The team's inability to maintain momentum after halftime was a critical factor.

Turnovers and penalties proved costly

Troy committed three turnovers (two interceptions by QB Goose Crowder) and 10 penalties for 95 yards. These mistakes directly led to Clemson's scoring drives and undermined the Trojans' defensive efforts.

QB Crowder's inconsistency

Goose Crowder finished 19 of 31 for 223 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. While he showed ability on the opening drive (44-yard TD pass), his two second-half interceptions were pivotal in the loss.

Defense held strong early but wore down

Troy's defense limited Clemson to 114 yards and forced two turnovers in the first half, including a pick-six. However, they allowed 120 rushing yards (103 in the second half) and could not stop Clemson's adjusted attack after halftime.

Next game: Host Memphis

Troy will host Memphis next Saturday. To improve, they must reduce penalties and turnovers, maintain defensive intensity for four quarters, and get more consistent QB play from Crowder.

Clemson

Second-Half Turnaround

Clemson overcame a 16-0 deficit by outscoring Troy 24-0 in the second half, showcasing resilience but also raising concerns about slow starts.

Key Offensive Performances

Bryant Wesco Jr. had 7 catches for 118 yards and 2 TDs, while Adam Randall rushed for 112 yards and a TD, providing a balanced attack after halftime.

Injury Concerns

Clemson played without key starters WR Antonio Williams, S Khalil Barnes, and LT Tristan Leigh, which may impact depth and performance against Georgia Tech.

Turnover and Penalty Issues

The Tigers committed 2 turnovers in the first half and had a tipped-pass interception returned for a TD, highlighting ball security and discipline problems.

Next Week's Challenge

Clemson visits Georgia Tech to open ACC play, needing a more complete effort after an unimpressive win that could cause a drop in the AP Top 25.

What were the weather conditions for Troy vs Clemson?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) were Thundery outbreaks possible, 85°F, heat index 90°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Troy travels 268 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Troy arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Clemson won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Troy covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

How do Troy and Clemson compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Clemson (8.4) over Troy (-6.3) by 14.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Clemson brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Troy and Clemson?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Clemson won and Troy covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Thundery outbreaks possible

85°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity61%
Wind1 mph N
Gusts3 mph
Heat index90°F
Wind map for Troy at Clemson: aerial view of Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), wind from the N at 1.3 mph, gusting to 2.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Capacity
81,500
Elevation
709 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

TroyAway ClemsonHome
This week268 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total268 miles0 miles
Body clock14:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

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