Week 2
Sun Bowl

UT Martin17 @FINAL 42UTEP , Week 2, Sep 7, 2025

0-0 OVC-Big South Power rating: -27.6
0-1 CUSA Power rating: -15.2

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTEP -7.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UTEP -15.3
Edge
+7.8UTEP
See details
◂ favors UTMfavors UTEP ▸Market: UTEP -7.5
12.4 › UTEP
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5 UTM5 UTEPModel: UTEP -15.3

Betting information

Spread
UTEP -7.5
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
UTM 21.0 – 28.5 UTEP

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

UTEP defeated UT Martin 42–17 to secure a comfortable win. UTEP covered by 17.5; Game went Over by 9.5. The market closed at UTEP -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UTEP -15.3 - a gap of 7.8 points toward UTEP, of which 6.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for UT Martin vs UTEP?

UT Martin

Offensive Struggles in First Half

UT Martin managed only a 7-7 tie early in the second quarter but then allowed 28 unanswered points, showing an inability to sustain drives or keep pace with UTEP's offense.

Jase Bauer's Solid Performance

Quarterback Jase Bauer completed 22 of 33 passes for 273 yards and a touchdown, providing a reliable passing game that could be built upon in future contests.

Defensive Vulnerabilities Exposed

The Skyhawks defense gave up 42 points, including four touchdown passes and over 400 total yards, indicating significant issues in pass coverage and run defense that need addressing.

Late Scoring Drive Shows Resilience

Despite the lopsided score, UT Martin scored a touchdown early in the fourth quarter, demonstrating some offensive resilience that could be a positive takeaway for the next game.

What were the weather conditions for UT Martin vs UTEP?

At kickoff, conditions at Sun Bowl were Clear, 68°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UT Martin travels 1,058 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UT Martin arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

UTEP won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

UTEP covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 9.5 points.

How do UT Martin and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTEP (-15.2) over UT Martin (-27.6) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UTEP won and UTEP covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 7, 2025 Game-time

Clear

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity75%
Wind6 mph ENE
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for UT Martin at UTEP: aerial view of Sun Bowl, wind from the ENE at 6.3 mph, gusting to 8.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM MDT
Venue
Sun Bowl
Capacity
51,500
Elevation
3,904 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UT MartinAway UTEPHome
This week1,058 miles0 miles
Last week917 miles1,496 miles
Season total1,975 miles1,496 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest10 days8 days